Wed, Mar 3, 2021·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Edmonton Oilers 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.
11%
79%
EDM winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thornton–Marner–Matthews | Hyman–Engvall–Mikheyev | Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | Spezza–Boyd–Vesey | Tavares–Hyman–Mikheyev | Spezza–Boyd–Engvall | Muzzin–Holl | Brodie–Rielly | Bogosian–Dermott | Bogosian–Holl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Yamamoto | 6:460.71–0.18 | 0:480.00–0.45 | 3:170.10–0.24 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.04–0.00 | 3:490.36–0.35 | 9:050.18–0.45 | 0:530.28–0.10 | 0:300.04–0.00 |
| Ennis–Archibald–Khaira | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:540.17–0.07 | 1:310.00–0.06 | 1:060.11–0.10 | 1:300.10–0.10 | 1:250.07–0.23 | 2:340.11–0.13 | |||
| Turris–Nygard–Haas | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.02 | 1:190.10–0.34 | 2:400.00–0.02 | 2:000.10–0.00 | ||||
| Ennis–Archibald–McDavid | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.13 | 2:310.05–0.13 | 0:540.00–0.13 | 1:270.00–0.00 | ||||
| Neal–McDavid–Puljujarvi | 1:340.00–0.36 | 2:160.02–0.05 | 2:590.00–0.23 | 1:340.02–0.14 | ||||||
| Neal–Archibald–Khaira | 1:030.00–0.05 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 1:330.00–0.05 | |||||
| Ennis–McDavid–Puljujarvi | 0:570.02–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 1:380.08–0.00 | ||||||
| Turris–McDavid–Nygard | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Turris–Khaira–Nygard | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Russell–Barrie | 2:290.28–0.36 | 1:590.02–0.05 | 3:030.09–0.00 | 4:390.21–0.18 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 3:400.09–0.27 | 5:170.07–0.33 | 6:090.49–0.16 | ||
| Nurse–Bear | 7:300.46–0.21 | 3:010.09–0.42 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.16 | 7:250.50–0.38 | 4:510.00–0.18 | 1:440.05–0.07 | |||
| Larsson–Jones | 1:180.00–0.05 | 1:450.07–0.00 | 3:540.01–0.08 | 2:080.01–0.10 | 2:280.00–0.12 | 3:440.08–0.23 | 3:550.00–0.11 | |||
| Larsson–Nurse | 1:250.08–0.00 | 1:040.10–0.00 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 1:030.05–0.00 | 1:520.38–0.09 | 1:290.17–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:030.05–0.00 | ||
| Barrie–Jones | 1:010.00–0.14 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 0:480.00–0.16 | ||||||
| Bear–Jones | 0:360.00–0.24 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.24 | 0:360.08–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Darnell NurseEDM | 25 | 25:11 | 1:00 | 1:50 | 0 | 4 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 21:31 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 0 | 1 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 23 | 21:31 | 0:56 | 1:25 | 5 | 3 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 23 | 20:39 | 0:54 | 1:25 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 25 | 20:32 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 22 | 20:24 | 0:56 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 23 | 19:38 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 4 | 7 |
 Kris RussellEDM | 23 | 19:36 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyson BarrieEDM | 21 | 19:32 | 0:56 | 1:23 | 5 | 1 |
 Adam LarssonEDM | 23 | 19:24 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 0 | 5 |
 Ethan BearEDM | 23 | 19:17 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 0 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 18:50 | 0:51 | 1:18 | 6 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 22 | 18:43 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 6 | 1 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 23 | 17:55 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 3 | 0 |
 Josh ArchibaldEDM | 23 | 17:08 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Kailer YamamotoEDM | 20 | 17:08 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 4 | 2 |
 Caleb JonesEDM | 20 | 17:07 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 |
 Joe ThorntonTOR | 21 | 17:01 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 6 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 21 | 16:55 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 3 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:11 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 21 | 15:48 | 0:45 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisEDM | 18 | 15:07 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Jujhar KhairaEDM | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 6 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 20 | 15:02 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 21 | 14:56 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 14:28 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 18 | 14:18 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 20 | 14:18 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 19 | 14:17 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Jimmy VeseyTOR | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Travis BoydTOR | 15 | 11:35 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Kyle TurrisEDM | 14 | 11:26 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 James NealEDM | 14 | 11:07 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 1 | 0 |
 Jesse PuljujarviEDM | 16 | 10:00 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Joakim NygardEDM | 15 | 9:50 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Gaetan HaasEDM | 14 | 8:47 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |