Thu, Mar 4, 2021·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Vancouver Canucks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.
18%
9%
65%
VAN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26:00 | 0.07 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 23:22 | 0.40 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:11 | 0.29 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.57 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:20 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.04 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:54 | 0.22 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:59 | 0.55 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.14 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.09 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:04 | 0.38 | 69.9% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:50 | 0.20 | 42.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.12 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.79 | −1.2 | 57:30 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.16 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:32 | 0.04 | 26.8% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.04 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 21:16 | 0.13 | 62.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:28 | 0.11 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 58.0% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.27 | 67.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.06 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.21 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.24 | 69.0% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.25 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 17.3% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.13 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.08 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:04 | 0.04 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 3.14 | +2.1 | 59:48 |