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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 4, 2021·Rogers Arena, Vancouver

Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Vancouver Canucks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 74% of the time.

VAN winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #440000226:000.0756.7%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−2523:220.4045.1%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−2123:110.2944.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000321:200.5762.3%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #780000021:200.0053.9%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #80000221:050.0757.5%0.0
Justin HollD · #30000020:000.0460.3%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #11000−1318:540.2272.9%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000516:590.5560.9%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #150000016:490.0048.8%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #190000215:200.1443.0%0.0
Zach BogosianD · #22000−1013:400.0036.7%0.0
Joe ThorntonC · #97000−1111:570.0923.2%0.0
Travis DermottD · #23000−1111:320.0032.9%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65011+1311:040.3869.9%+16.8
Pierre EngvallLW · #47101+1310:500.2042.3%+16.8
Jimmy VeseyLW · #26000+119:550.1249.2%0.0
Nic PetanC · #61000007:580.0049.1%0.0
Michael Hutchinson#30L28253.8931.79−1.257:30

Vancouver Canucks

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

J.T. MillerC · #90000322:140.1655.3%0.0
Tyler MyersD · #570110221:320.0426.8%+19.6
Quinn HughesD · #43000−1121:170.0441.3%0.0
Alexander EdlerD · #23011+2421:160.1362.3%+13.2
Travis HamonicD · #27000−1419:280.1159.0%0.0
Nate SchmidtD · #88011+2019:130.0058.0%+13.2
Brock BoeserRW · #6000+1019:090.0059.0%0.0
Bo HorvatC · #53101+2217:160.2767.6%+13.2
Brandon SutterC · #20000−1117:000.0215.2%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000+1116:500.0664.4%0.0
Jordie BennD · #80000116:110.2136.4%0.0
Jake VirtanenRW · #18202+1315:100.2469.0%+33.2
Nils HoglanderLW · #36000+1215:030.2579.8%0.0
Adam GaudetteRW · #96011−1012:550.0017.3%+19.6
Marc MichaelisLW · #56000−1112:160.1320.4%0.0
Antoine RousselLW · #260000011:150.0053.2%0.0
Jay BeagleC · #830000110:030.0856.4%0.0
Jayce HawrylukRW · #13000028:040.0434.4%0.0
Thatcher Demko#35W32311.9693.14+2.159:48