Sat, Mar 6, 2021·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
10%
42%
VAN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:05 | 0.03 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:11 | 0.09 | 66.2% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:31 | 0.26 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:27 | 0.31 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:49 | 0.01 | 34.9% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.03 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.11 | 40.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 16:45 | 0.32 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.29 | 55.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:23 | 0.40 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:41 | 0.08 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.01 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:56 | 0.23 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.01 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.18 | 66.7% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.04 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.32 | 64.1% | +21.9 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 2.64 | −1.4 | 58:20 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 22:42 | 0.29 | 51.6% | +74.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.01 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.03 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.10 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.45 | 64.1% | +74.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.40 | 66.9% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.09 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.03 | 19.4% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:35 | 0.03 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 59.3% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.14 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.76 | 63.5% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:47 | 0.06 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:33 | 0.11 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:16 | 0.13 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 37 | 2 | .949 | 2.71 | +0.7 | 60:00 |