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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord
  3. P1 3:25Shot by Paul, saved by Hutchinson
  4. P1 6:06Goal by Tkachuk, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Brown, Norris, Tkachuk, Zub · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Boyd, Vesey

  5. P1 6:13Goal by Dzingel (Bishop, Reilly)+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Watson, Dzingel, Reilly, Bishop, Zub · TOR Thornton, Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Nylander

  6. P1 6:41Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Watson, Dzingel, Reilly, Bishop, Zub · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott

  7. P1 6:41Bogosian: Instigator (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Watson, Dzingel, Reilly, Bishop, Zub · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott

  8. P1 6:41Bogosian: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Watson, Dzingel, Reilly, Bishop, Zub · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott

  9. P1 6:41Bogosian: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Watson, Dzingel, Reilly, Bishop, Zub · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott

  10. P1 8:40Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 9:48Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord
  12. P1 9:52Shot by Muzzin, saved by Daccord
  13. P1 11:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord
  14. P1 11:36Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  15. P1 11:38Goal by Hyman (Matthews, Rielly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev, Norris, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  16. P1 12:08Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord
  17. P1 12:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 13:15Shot by Bishop, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 14:36Shot by Brodie, saved by Daccord
  20. P1 14:38Shot by Spezza, saved by Daccord
  21. P1 14:54Shot by White, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 15:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 16:05Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 17:29Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 17:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 18:00Marner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Reilly, Brown, Norris, Tkachuk, Zub · TOR Muzzin, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  27. P1 19:25Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen5v4
  28. P1 19:33Shot by White, saved by Andersen5v4
  29. P1 19:58Shot by Paul, saved by Andersen5v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:21Shot by Brodie, saved by Daccord
  33. P2 2:32Shot by Brodie, saved by Daccord
  34. P2 3:00Shot by Muzzin, saved by Daccord
  35. P2 3:58Hyman: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Chabot, Zaitsev, Norris, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  36. P2 4:48Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen5v4
  37. P2 4:54Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen5v4
  38. P2 5:00Goal by Batherson (Stützle, Tkachuk)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Marner

  39. P2 5:42Shot by Watson, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 5:50Shot by Wolanin, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 5:53Goal by Batherson (Wolanin, Tierney)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gudbranson, Tierney, Wolanin, Batherson, Stützle · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Vesey, Engvall, Mikheyev

  42. P2 7:32Shot by Vesey, saved by Daccord
  43. P2 8:06Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 8:21Bishop: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Watson, Reilly, Paul, Bishop, Zaitsev · TOR Thornton, Bogosian, Tavares, Nylander, Dermott

  45. P2 8:32Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Andersen4v5
  46. P2 9:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord4v5
  47. P2 10:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord4v5
  48. P2 10:42Shot by Hyman, saved by Daccord
  49. P2 12:42Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 13:46Shot by Holl, saved by Daccord
  51. P2 15:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  52. P2 15:57Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Daccord
  53. P2 16:20Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 17:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  55. P2 17:39Shot by Stützle, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 17:57Shot by Reilly, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 18:02Shot by Stützle, saved by Andersen
  58. P2 19:52Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  62. P3 0:58Shot by Hyman, saved by Daccord
  63. P3 1:39Shot by Engvall, saved by Daccord
  64. P3 1:44Shot by Bogosian, saved by Daccord
  65. P3 3:08Shot by White, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 3:46Shot by Brown, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 4:08Shot by Batherson, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 4:51Shot by Muzzin, saved by Daccord
  69. P3 7:54Shot by Muzzin, saved by Daccord
  70. P3 11:36Shot by Batherson, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 13:34Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord5v6
  72. P3 14:13Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord5v6
  73. P3 14:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord5v6
  74. P3 14:39Shot by Tavares, saved by Daccord5v6
  75. P3 14:40Goal by Hyman (Nylander, Tavares)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Dadonov, Gudbranson, Reilly, Paul, White · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  76. P3 15:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord5v6
  77. P3 15:59Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord5v6
  78. P3 17:46Shot by Marner, saved by Daccord5v6
  79. P3 17:48Goal by Tavares (Hyman, Marner)5v6+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Paul, Zaitsev, Norris, Batherson, Zub · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  80. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  81. P3 0:00Final