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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Marner–MatthewsThornton–Tavares–NylanderKerfoot–Engvall–MikheyevTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderSpezza–Boyd–VeseyThornton–Spezza–BoydVesey–Engvall–MikheyevSpezza–Tavares–BoydBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollBogosian–DermottMuzzin–BrodieHoll–DermottRielly–Dermott
Brown–Norris–Tkachuk7:250.25–0.841:240.00–0.110:370.07–0.145:340.04–0.823:320.07–0.261:120.00–0.00
Tierney–Batherson–Stützle2:200.10–0.041:210.16–0.141:320.12–0.001:110.02–0.000:500.24–0.032:190.41–0.141:430.00–0.042:140.28–0.030:490.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Dadonov–Paul–White0:360.00–0.003:050.06–0.111:260.11–0.000:390.00–0.262:010.06–0.111:380.11–0.001:310.00–0.000:300.00–0.260:440.00–0.00
Watson–Dzingel–Bishop0:440.15–0.000:300.00–0.000:360.26–0.001:170.00–0.000:360.00–0.082:010.34–0.001:490.01–0.000:360.00–0.08
Watson–Paul–White0:360.01–0.151:250.09–0.001:160.12–0.000:430.09–0.000:340.00–0.00
Dadonov–Dzingel–White0:330.00–0.000:450.00–0.050:330.00–0.00
Watson–Norris–Tkachuk0:430.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev8:220.16–0.981:310.00–0.011:170.11–0.001:420.40–0.265:080.39–0.675:470.23–0.301:090.00–0.001:040.00–0.260:360.00–0.000:340.05–0.00
Reilly–Zub1:470.21–0.044:330.42–0.110:430.00–0.001:200.02–0.000:410.07–0.003:550.08–0.112:120.21–0.043:210.22–0.000:540.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Wolanin0:320.00–0.081:100.00–0.003:120.26–0.010:300.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:150.24–0.030:380.00–0.081:250.37–0.001:170.12–0.012:340.16–0.031:200.01–0.081:120.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Chabot2:010.00–0.021:220.00–0.191:150.00–0.010:450.00–0.01
Reilly–Zaitsev0:510.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Zub0:340.03–0.00
Chabot–Zub1:140.00–0.11
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FWhite FDadonov FTkachuk FNorris FBrown FStützle FTierney FBatherson FBishop FDzingel FWatson FZub DReilly DZaitsev DChabot DWolanin DGudbranson DDaccord GNylander FTavares FThornton FHyman FMarner FMatthews FKerfoot FEngvall FMikheyev FSpezza FVesey FBoyd FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DBogosian DDermott DHutchinson GAndersen G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2729:481:062:0226
Morgan RiellyTOR2928:060:582:2732
Mitch MarnerTOR2225:451:102:5260
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2424:061:002:4606
Auston MatthewsTOR2123:531:082:2270
Zach HymanTOR2322:400:592:2281
John TavaresTOR2122:321:042:4130
Brady TkachukOTT2322:010:572:1235
TJ BrodieTOR2621:070:491:2312
Jake MuzzinTOR2820:140:431:0913
Justin HollTOR2519:270:471:2914
Connor BrownOTT2319:180:501:4815
William NylanderTOR2318:330:481:5840
Josh NorrisOTT2417:440:441:4824
Artem ZubOTT2017:330:531:2912
Colin WhiteOTT2317:260:451:1015
Erik GudbransonOTT2216:430:461:5834
Tim StützleOTT1715:580:561:4950
Mike ReillyOTT2115:310:441:2003
Drake BathersonOTT1815:280:521:3650
Chris TierneyOTT1814:460:491:2511
Travis DermottTOR2114:440:421:3130
Nick PaulOTT2014:320:441:1013
Alexander KerfootTOR1814:110:471:3200
Evgenii DadonovOTT1913:280:431:4944
Austin WatsonOTT1512:410:511:3202
Joe ThorntonTOR1512:280:502:2911
Ilya MikheyevTOR1611:420:441:2301
Christian WolaninOTT1811:240:381:0131
Ryan DzingelOTT1511:060:441:0312
Pierre EngvallTOR1510:380:431:3201
Jason SpezzaTOR159:400:391:0413
Clark BishopOTT138:270:390:5601
Zach BogosianTOR128:260:421:2811
Travis BoydTOR107:380:461:1600
Jimmy VeseyTOR127:210:371:0101