Sun, Mar 14, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.
43%
41%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 28:06 | 0.23 | 57.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 6 | 25:45 | 0.60 | 62.0% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:53 | 0.35 | 66.4% | +12.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 22:40 | 0.89 | 75.3% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:32 | 1.12 | 33.5% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:07 | 0.09 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.11 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.02 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.40 | 32.5% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 5.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.03 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.01 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.18 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:26 | 0.02 | 5.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.10 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:21 | 0.09 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 0.75 | −1.3 | 6:13 | |
| L | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.85 | +0.9 | 49:35 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 29:48 | 0.00 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 24:06 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 22:01 | 1.24 | 29.0% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.05 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.39 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.06 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.31 | 79.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.02 | 76.5% | +12.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:28 | 1.06 | 84.6% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.11 | 74.7% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.03 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:28 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.20 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.02 | 65.6% | +7.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 11:06 | 0.26 | 75.2% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.46 | 69.8% | +12.3 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 4.23 | +1.2 | 60:00 |