Thu, Mar 18, 2021·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Dallas Stars 2, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
10%
39%
DET winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26:42 | 0.16 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:53 | 0.29 | 60.0% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.14 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:26 | 0.29 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.15 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.25 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.33 | 82.1% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.12 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.30 | 81.0% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 14:37 | 0.42 | 83.1% | +3.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.41 | 42.9% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.01 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.03 | 67.8% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:41 | 0.00 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.31 | −0.7 | 57:32 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.09 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.28 | 50.3% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.11 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.11 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.80 | 51.0% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 19.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.22 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.02 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.07 | 22.9% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:15 | 0.67 | 54.0% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.23 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.09 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:45 | 0.31 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.39 | −0.6 | 21:28 | |
| – | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.51 | +1.5 | 38:32 |