Mon, Mar 29, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
63%
9%
8%
20%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darnell NurseD · #25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:18 | 0.21 | 21.5% | +47.2 |
 Connor McDavidC · #97 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:06 | 0.12 | 23.5% | +47.2 |
 Leon DraisaitlC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:29 | 0.20 | 24.2% | +47.2 |
 Tyson BarrieD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:13 | 0.02 | 9.3% | 0.0 |
 Kris RussellD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.02 | 50.1% | +17.2 |
 Ethan BearD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.05 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
 Jesse PuljujarviRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:27 | 0.12 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Adam LarssonD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:24 | 0.01 | 71.8% | +24.7 |
 Kailer YamamotoRW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.10 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.24 | 50.5% | +24.7 |
 Kyle TurrisC · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.18 | 48.5% | +24.7 |
 Jujhar KhairaLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.01 | 79.8% | +17.2 |
 Devin ShoreC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.30 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
 Zack KassianRW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
 Josh ArchibaldRW · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.12 | 76.9% | +17.2 |
 William LagessonD · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.01 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.05 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
 Gaetan HaasC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Mike Smith#41 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.95 | +1.0 | 60:17 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.25 | 77.8% | +17.5 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:16 | 0.91 | 64.1% | +15.5 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.07 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.28 | 77.0% | +33.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.03 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.03 | 72.3% | +33.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.23 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.07 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.03 | 72.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.16 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.33 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.19 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.24 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.02 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.09 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
 Michael Hutchinson#30 | O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.77 | −1.2 | 60:17 |