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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 5, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 2:06Shot by Andersson, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 2:10Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Campbell
  5. P1 2:28Shot by Bennett, saved by Campbell
  6. P1 2:40Shot by Hanifin, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 3:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  8. P1 4:31Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Campbell
  9. P1 4:33Shot by Bennett, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 4:35Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Campbell
  11. P1 7:52Shot by Holl, saved by Markstrom
  12. P1 8:29Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  13. P1 14:25Shot by Giordano, saved by Campbell
  14. P1 14:41Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 14:43Shot by Hanifin, saved by Campbell
  16. P1 15:55Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 16:13Nesterov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Backlund, Stone, Nesterov, Mangiapane · TOR Simmonds, Bogosian, Engvall, Dermott, Matthews, Mikheyev

  18. P1 18:53Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Markstrom
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:17Shot by Ritchie, saved by Campbell
  22. P2 0:21Shot by Ritchie, saved by Campbell
  23. P2 0:47Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  24. P2 0:51Shot by Ritchie, saved by Campbell
  25. P2 1:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  26. P2 1:19Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  27. P2 2:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  28. P2 3:10Goal by Spezza (Kerfoot, Dermott)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Nordstrom, Bennett, Hanifin, Ryan · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Bogosian, Kerfoot, Dermott

  29. P2 3:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  30. P2 3:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  31. P2 5:38Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  32. P2 5:54Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  33. P2 7:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  34. P2 7:53Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stone, Nordstrom, Nesterov, Bennett, Ryan · TOR Brodie, Galchenyuk, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  35. P2 9:00Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  36. P2 11:18Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  37. P2 11:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  38. P2 14:54Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell
  39. P2 16:56Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  40. P2 18:06Goal by Mangiapane (Hanifin, Lindholm)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Tanev, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin · TOR Thornton, Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot

  41. P2 18:50Shot by Dube, saved by Campbell
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 4:17Goal by Backlund (Bennett)+30 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Stone, Nordstrom, Nesterov, Bennett · TOR Simmonds, Bogosian, Engvall, Dermott, Mikheyev

  45. P3 6:00Shot by Andersson, saved by Campbell
  46. P3 6:47Shot by Andersson, saved by Campbell
  47. P3 7:13Goal by Simmonds (Engvall)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk, Dube · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Mikheyev

  48. P3 8:20Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell
  49. P3 8:51Shot by Nordstrom, saved by Campbell
  50. P3 8:56Shot by Stone, saved by Campbell
  51. P3 9:04Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  52. P3 9:39Nesterov: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Stone, Nesterov, Ritchie, Ryan · TOR Simmonds, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Matthews, Mikheyev

  53. P3 10:05Goal by Backlund (Lindholm)4v5+33 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  54. P3 10:50Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom4v5
  55. P3 10:50Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Hyman)4v5+32 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Tanev, Nordstrom, Lindholm · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  56. P3 11:44Shot by Bogosian, saved by Markstrom
  57. P3 12:10Goal by Tavares (Muzzin, Nylander)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Monahan, Andersson, Tkachuk, Dube · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Holl, Galchenyuk, Nylander

  58. P3 13:20Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom
  59. P3 13:58Simmonds: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Nordstrom, Nesterov, Andersson, Ryan · TOR Muzzin, Simmonds, Holl, Engvall, Mikheyev

  60. P3 15:31Shot by Brodie, saved by Markstrom5v4
  61. P3 15:43Mangiapane: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson · TOR Bogosian, Brodie, Hyman, Marner

  62. P3 16:40Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell4v5
  63. P3 17:31Shot by Thornton, saved by Markstrom4v5
  64. P3 17:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Markstrom4v5
  65. P3 18:39Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom4v5
  66. P3 19:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom4v5
  67. P3 19:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  68. P3 19:33Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  69. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  70. P3 0:00Final