Mon, Apr 5, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
22%
64%
CGY winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Galchenyuk–Nylander | Thornton–Spezza–Kerfoot | Simmonds–Engvall–Mikheyev | Muzzin–Holl | Brodie–Rielly | Bogosian–Dermott | Holl–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaudreau–Ritchie–Monahan | 0:410.00–0.00 | 4:540.60–0.06 | 1:520.12–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.12 | 4:040.48–0.03 | 4:260.14–0.03 | 0:400.09–0.12 | |
| Lucic–Backlund–Mangiapane | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.03 | 1:440.03–0.01 | 2:450.02–0.15 | 2:220.01–0.11 | 2:420.02–0.08 | 3:030.02–0.11 | |
| Lindholm–Tkachuk–Dube | 5:570.33–0.13 | 0:530.04–0.00 | 2:490.17–0.00 | 1:480.12–0.10 | 3:140.20–0.03 | |||
| Nordstrom–Bennett–Ryan | 3:230.78–0.66 | 1:240.01–0.02 | 1:550.02–0.03 | 2:240.11–0.10 | 1:200.80–0.65 | |||
| Gaudreau–Lindholm–Mangiapane | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||
| Lucic–Ritchie–Ryan | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:500.03–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.11 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||
| Monahan–Tkachuk–Dube | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.14 | 0:420.00–0.13 | |||||
| Backlund–Nordstrom–Bennett | 0:330.03–0.00 | 0:390.18–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.07 | 0:470.03–0.03 | 0:550.21–0.00 | |||
| Giordano–Andersson | 2:340.20–0.14 | 8:300.42–0.22 | 1:280.02–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.25 | 6:470.24–0.19 | 4:470.14–0.16 | 4:060.39–0.25 | 1:020.01–0.01 |
| Tanev–Hanifin | 9:320.17–0.13 | 2:050.13–0.00 | 1:440.30–0.65 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 4:460.20–0.11 | 5:260.30–0.10 | 5:170.14–0.68 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
| Stone–Nesterov | 5:450.77–0.05 | 5:260.18–0.41 | 4:170.01–0.06 | 4:510.04–0.28 | 3:040.90–0.17 | |||
| Hanifin–Andersson | 0:340.00–0.25 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:460.26–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.25 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 24:09 | 0:56 | 1:59 | 7 | 4 |
 Mark GiordanoCGY | 32 | 24:00 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 4 | 6 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 27 | 21:49 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 21:32 | 0:52 | 1:43 | 4 | 5 |
 Rasmus AnderssonCGY | 31 | 21:16 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 3 | 2 |
 Justin HollTOR | 25 | 21:13 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 27 | 20:58 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 5 |
 Noah HanifinCGY | 27 | 20:53 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 20:16 | 0:51 | 1:43 | 3 | 5 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 20:03 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 4 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 24 | 19:22 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 2 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 24 | 18:43 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 8 | 5 |
 Johnny GaudreauCGY | 22 | 17:23 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 7 | 0 |
 Sean MonahanCGY | 25 | 17:09 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 8 | 2 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 27 | 17:00 | 0:38 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 23 | 16:22 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Michael StoneCGY | 19 | 16:22 | 0:52 | 2:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 22 | 16:21 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 15:18 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita NesterovCGY | 19 | 15:11 | 0:48 | 2:28 | 2 | 5 |
 Zach BogosianTOR | 22 | 15:01 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 18 | 14:50 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Brett RitchieCGY | 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 7 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex GalchenyukTOR | 19 | 13:41 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Joe ThorntonTOR | 17 | 13:20 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 3 | 1 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 19 | 13:12 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew TkachukCGY | 20 | 13:03 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Jason SpezzaTOR | 18 | 13:01 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 3 | 2 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 20 | 12:59 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 19 | 12:21 | 0:39 | 2:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Joakim NordstromCGY | 20 | 12:18 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 1 | 6 |
 Derek RyanCGY | 18 | 12:14 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 |
 Ilya MikheyevTOR | 21 | 11:49 | 0:34 | 0:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Pierre EngvallTOR | 19 | 10:53 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam BennettCGY | 17 | 10:02 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 2 | 2 |