Mon, Apr 5, 2021·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 72% of the time.
22%
64%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:09 | 0.05 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:32 | 0.25 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.02 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.05 | 34.5% | +13.4 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 1.44 | 61.2% | +47.7 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.02 | 57.3% | +15.8 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.39 | 57.5% | +31.8 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.91 | 27.4% | +45.2 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 29.0% | +29.2 |
 Zach BogosianD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.03 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.06 | 34.7% | +21.9 |
 Alex GalchenyukC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.03 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Joe ThorntonC · #97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.09 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.05 | 43.5% | +21.9 |
 Jason SpezzaC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.64 | 34.8% | +21.9 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.13 | 69.0% | +32.5 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11:49 | 0.58 | 73.6% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #47 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:53 | 0.02 | 77.9% | +32.5 |
 Jack Campbell#36 | W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.45 | +0.4 | 59:13 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mark GiordanoD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.02 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.03 | 49.0% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AnderssonD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.20 | 52.4% | 0.0 |
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:53 | 0.06 | 42.9% | +15.9 |
 Johnny GaudreauLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 64.4% | 0.0 |
 Sean MonahanC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:09 | 0.24 | 58.0% | 0.0 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.33 | 61.3% | +48.6 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 16:22 | 0.27 | 44.4% | +63.1 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.12 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.16 | 44.1% | +15.9 |
 Nikita NesterovD · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.03 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Brett RitchieRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:28 | 0.54 | 72.3% | 0.0 |
 Matthew TkachukLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:03 | 0.29 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.10 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Joakim NordstromC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:18 | 0.65 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Derek RyanC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:14 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Sam BennettC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.40 | 54.1% | +30.4 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 3.61 | −1.4 | 59:09 |