Mon, May 3, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.
60%
8%
9%
23%
BUF winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 22:41 | 0.16 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.03 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.05 | 41.5% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:54 | 0.44 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.05 | 48.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.07 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.02 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.10 | 49.4% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.24 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.19 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.06 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:42 | 0.14 | 30.4% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.20 | 44.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.01 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.09 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 2.40 | −0.6 | 58:28 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 23:34 | 0.14 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.01 | 74.0% | +52.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 66.6% | +15.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:12 | 0.73 | 83.1% | +75.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.17 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.02 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.29 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.13 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:19 | 0.28 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 15:34 | 0.46 | 67.8% | +51.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:08 | 0.10 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.25 | 68.5% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.23 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.06 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 1.96 | 0.0 | 60:00 |