Mon, May 3, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 68% of the time.
60%
8%
9%
23%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Bailey–Nelson–Beauvillier | Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas | Zajac–Palmieri–Wahlstrom | Komarov–Eberle–Barzal | Bailey–Barzal–Beauvillier | Pelech–Pulock | Leddy–Mayfield | Greene–Dobson | Leddy–Dobson | Greene–Mayfield | Pulock–Dobson | Greene–Pulock | Leddy–Pulock | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asplund–Thompson–Mittelstadt | 2:320.00–0.18 | 1:200.06–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.09 | 4:190.20–0.04 | 0:400.15–0.00 | 3:070.01–0.09 | 4:210.04–0.21 | 2:040.18–0.01 | 1:110.03–0.00 | ||||
| Skinner–Reinhart–Olofsson | 3:130.16–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:510.12–0.03 | 2:190.16–0.10 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Bjork–Cozens–Ruotsalainen | 0:580.00–0.06 | 3:310.10–0.17 | 1:340.00–0.02 | 2:160.01–0.08 | 1:130.00–0.17 | 1:400.10–0.00 | |||||||
| Reinhart–Bjork–Olofsson | 2:310.00–0.06 | 1:080.04–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:540.22–0.00 | 3:040.00–0.02 | 2:010.16–0.04 | 0:480.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Eakin–Sheahan–Caggiula | 0:350.00–0.07 | 2:090.02–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.07 | 2:000.02–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sheahan–Cozens–Ruotsalainen | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.11 | 1:160.17–0.02 | 1:400.17–0.01 | 1:330.00–0.23 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||||||
| Eakin–Skinner–Caggiula | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:310.02–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 3:120.00–0.11 | 3:450.00–0.25 | 3:370.11–0.02 | 3:170.28–0.01 | 4:340.08–0.04 | 3:480.11–0.16 | 5:000.20–0.20 | 2:100.01–0.08 | 0:330.09–0.00 | 0:390.02–0.00 | |||
| Ristolainen–Samuelsson | 3:200.16–0.04 | 4:100.34–0.00 | 2:400.17–0.15 | 3:210.34–0.05 | 4:550.29–0.17 | 5:090.21–0.16 | 1:270.05–0.00 | 0:350.24–0.04 | 1:490.24–0.00 | ||||
| Borgen–Bryson | 4:560.09–0.19 | 1:460.00–0.10 | 2:540.00–0.00 | 1:270.01–0.01 | 0:430.19–0.00 | 4:400.06–0.21 | 3:200.26–0.07 | 2:230.07–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.02 | 0:400.03–0.00 | |||
| Ristolainen–Bryson |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 23 | 23:34 | 1:01 | 2:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 28 | 22:41 | 0:49 | 3:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Nick LeddyNYI | 27 | 21:58 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 27 | 20:33 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 3 | 6 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 22 | 20:04 | 0:55 | 1:49 | 2 | 3 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 22 | 19:54 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 24 | 19:52 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 22 | 19:36 | 0:53 | 1:50 | 3 | 4 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 25 | 19:34 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 19:12 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 21 | 19:12 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 18 | 18:52 | 1:03 | 2:01 | 1 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 19 | 17:39 | 0:56 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 19 | 17:31 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 5 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 22 | 17:16 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 7 | 3 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 19 | 17:08 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 3 | 0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierNYI | 20 | 16:46 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Will BorgenBUF | 20 | 16:43 | 0:50 | 2:07 | 0 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 17 | 16:19 | 0:58 | 1:40 | 5 | 3 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Andy GreeneNYI | 21 | 16:02 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 21 | 15:21 | 0:44 | 2:02 | 1 | 5 |
 Arttu RuotsalainenBUF | 17 | 15:08 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 3 | 3 |
 Riley SheahanBUF | 19 | 14:50 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 2 | 5 |
 Travis ZajacNYI | 20 | 14:26 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 7 | 3 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 21 | 14:22 | 0:41 | 2:04 | 1 | 5 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 19 | 14:10 | 0:45 | 1:26 | 3 | 4 |
 Jordan EberleNYI | 19 | 12:48 | 0:40 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Oliver WahlstromNYI | 16 | 12:42 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 4 | 2 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 15 | 12:32 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 15 | 12:20 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Leo KomarovNYI | 18 | 11:48 | 0:39 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 16 | 11:40 | 0:44 | 2:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Drake CaggiulaBUF | 13 | 10:04 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 12 | 9:40 | 0:48 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |