Sat, Oct 16, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.
76%
12%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:13 | 0.08 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.15 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.19 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.10 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.21 | 65.7% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:39 | 0.35 | 40.7% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.18 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.02 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.01 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.01 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.02 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.03 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.05 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.07 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.17 | 71.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.15 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.00 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:54 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.01 | 0.0 | 57:29 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 25:49 | 0.13 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.22 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.03 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:54 | 1.27 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.06 | 64.1% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:17 | 0.34 | 48.3% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.28 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:22 | 0.00 | 50.8% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.25 | 62.0% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.02 | 52.7% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.10 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.36 | 59.6% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.08 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.11 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.36 | 71.8% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:58 | 0.09 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 1.78 | +0.8 | 60:00 |