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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 16, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Thomas ChabotD · #720000328:130.0838.4%0.0
Artem ZubD · #20000122:490.1544.2%0.0
Tim StützleC · #180000220:350.1962.5%0.0
Connor BrownRW · #28000−2120:110.1021.0%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #190110118:560.2165.7%+13.2
Josh NorrisC · #91010318:390.3540.7%+13.2
Shane PintoC · #12000−1118:120.1824.8%0.0
Victor MeteD · #98000−3117:370.0237.4%0.0
Nick HoldenD · #50000117:210.0163.6%0.0
Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000−3115:550.0120.0%0.0
Joshua BrownD · #30000115:420.0250.6%0.0
Chris TierneyC · #71000−1015:160.0376.3%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #21000−1113:240.0517.2%0.0
Alex FormentonLW · #100000113:170.0731.7%0.0
Tyler EnnisRW · #63011−1213:170.1771.5%+13.2
Zachary SanfordLW · #13000−1113:140.1538.9%0.0
Parker KellyC · #45000−107:510.0019.8%0.0
Logan ShawRW · #20000−105:540.0018.6%0.0
Anton Forsberg#31L29263.8973.010.057:29

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+1425:490.1356.7%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000+1020:580.0258.7%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #160000220:370.2251.1%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #80000120:110.0364.9%0.0
John TavaresC · #910000419:541.2750.4%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38011+2217:500.0664.1%+21.6
William NylanderRW · #88011+1417:170.3448.3%+11.6
David KampfC · #640000016:410.0057.1%0.0
Nick RitchieLW · #200000116:040.2859.6%0.0
Travis DermottD · #23011+2015:220.0050.8%+21.6
Michael BuntingLW · #58101+2315:200.2562.0%+14.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370110014:520.0252.7%+14.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000314:510.1061.9%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15112+2114:430.3659.6%+25.7
Ondrej KaseRW · #25000+1014:040.0851.8%0.0
Jason SpezzaC · #19000+1112:110.1166.8%0.0
Wayne SimmondsRW · #24101+1110:450.3671.8%+21.6
Michael AmadioRW · #18000+129:580.0962.9%0.0
Jack Campbell#36W21201.9521.78+0.860:00