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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 16, 2021·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 83% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Norris–Batherson–StützleBrown–Paul–PintoBrown–Sanford–PintoShaw–Formenton–KellyEnnis–Tierney–SanfordEnnis–Tierney–FormentonTierney–Batherson–StützleShaw–Sanford–KellyEnnis–Tierney–PaulBrown–Formenton–PintoEnnis–Paul–SanfordChabot–ZubMete–ZaitsevHolden–BrownHolden–ChabotMete–Zub
Tavares–Ritchie–Marner1:430.00–0.143:530.14–0.002:140.24–0.001:360.07–0.031:360.00–0.194:170.21–0.153:070.10–0.002:560.02–0.100:310.00–0.060:310.00–0.05
Engvall–Kase–Kampf2:570.05–0.000:550.00–0.001:290.07–0.001:390.00–0.140:470.00–0.010:500.02–0.000:410.00–0.000:580.00–0.005:020.04–0.143:220.11–0.002:150.00–0.01
Kerfoot–Nylander–Bunting2:130.06–0.011:180.17–0.001:130.00–0.030:310.00–0.121:040.01–0.050:590.00–0.022:370.10–0.032:160.17–0.084:010.02–0.13
Spezza–Simmonds–Amadio2:340.16–0.010:310.00–0.041:250.06–0.030:410.00–0.000:410.17–0.004:530.29–0.142:080.18–0.060:480.00–0.04
Brodie–Rielly5:340.10–0.022:110.18–0.000:370.10–0.001:100.01–0.000:370.00–0.031:300.02–0.130:350.02–0.000:370.00–0.029:030.16–0.223:520.29–0.062:470.02–0.000:340.00–0.00
Dermott–Sandin1:080.00–0.061:380.13–0.000:540.00–0.000:510.07–0.003:000.00–0.141:450.00–0.161:010.00–0.050:310.01–0.051:020.00–0.023:100.12–0.143:000.31–0.055:280.02–0.170:470.00–0.060:310.00–0.05
Muzzin–Liljegren3:440.18–0.072:220.00–0.001:100.14–0.110:430.06–0.000:500.07–0.000:350.00–0.005:290.37–0.124:100.02–0.051:570.00–0.180:460.05–0.00
Muzzin–Rielly0:300.11–0.001:110.11–0.00
Muzzin–Sandin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKase FEngvall FKampf FMarner FRitchie FTavares FNylander FKerfoot FBunting FAmadio FSpezza FSimmonds FRielly DBrodie DMuzzin DLiljegren DDermott DSandin DCampbell GPinto FPaul FBrown FNorris FStützle FBatherson FTierney FEnnis FFormenton FShaw FSanford FKelly FZaitsev DMete DZub DChabot DBrown DHolden DForsberg G
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2428:131:113:1140
Morgan RiellyTOR2825:490:552:4453
Artem ZubOTT2622:490:532:0731
TJ BrodieTOR2620:580:481:4824
Mitch MarnerTOR2220:370:563:2533
Tim StützleOTT2220:350:561:5651
Jake MuzzinTOR2620:110:471:0912
Connor BrownOTT2420:110:501:2334
John TavaresTOR2219:540:542:0642
Drake BathersonOTT2218:560:522:0051
Josh NorrisOTT2318:390:491:3052
Shane PintoOTT2318:120:472:0842
Rasmus SandinTOR1917:500:561:5501
Victor MeteOTT2517:370:421:1116
Nick HoldenOTT2317:210:451:3535
William NylanderTOR2317:170:451:3580
David KampfTOR2316:410:441:1705
Nick RitchieTOR1816:040:541:4222
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2315:550:422:3114
Joshua BrownOTT2215:420:431:4316
Travis DermottTOR1615:220:581:3500
Michael BuntingTOR2015:200:461:3340
Chris TierneyOTT1815:160:511:2524
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2214:520:411:0821
Pierre EngvallTOR2214:510:411:1504
Alexander KerfootTOR2014:430:441:3040
Ondrej KaseTOR2014:040:421:1404
Nick PaulOTT1913:240:421:1414
Alex FormentonOTT1613:170:502:0802
Tyler EnnisOTT1513:170:531:2322
Zachary SanfordOTT1613:140:501:1822
Jason SpezzaTOR1812:110:411:1750
Wayne SimmondsTOR1710:450:381:0530
Michael AmadioTOR149:580:431:0820
Parker KellyOTT127:510:391:1404
Logan ShawOTT85:540:441:1000