Tue, Oct 19, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Dallas Stars 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 60% of the time.
31%
10%
8%
51%
PIT winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:28 | 0.09 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:27 | 0.06 | 54.4% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.27 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:38 | 0.78 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.06 | 34.4% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.11 | 40.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.29 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.28 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.03 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.09 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.11 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:48 | 0.24 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.21 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:39 | 0.28 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.33 | +1.3 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:21 | 0.19 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.21 | 56.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 55.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:23 | 0.17 | 96.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:20 | 0.51 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.23 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:57 | 0.13 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 0.20 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.23 | 88.5% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.09 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.12 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.04 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.08 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.01 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.02 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.04 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.89 | +1.9 | 65:00 |