Sat, Oct 23, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 7
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
61%
9%
24%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:59 | 0.07 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.15 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.17 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.05 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18:45 | 0.50 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.06 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.12 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:38 | 0.33 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.03 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.06 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.10 | 67.4% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.14 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:38 | 0.25 | 49.8% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.08 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 6:56 | 0.18 | 45.1% | +21.8 |
| – | 12 | 10 | 2 | .833 | 1.40 | −0.6 | 20:00 | |
| L | 21 | 16 | 5 | .762 | 2.04 | −3.0 | 40:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:05 | 0.04 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:16 | 0.03 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.20 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.18 | 83.1% | +2.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.15 | 61.9% | +22.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.10 | 91.8% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 17:09 | 0.55 | 80.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:56 | 0.27 | 58.1% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:46 | 0.27 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.02 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 16:15 | 0.52 | 91.4% | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 14:35 | 0.65 | 81.9% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.10 | 82.2% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 83.9% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.15 | 44.3% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.21 | 33.8% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.32 | +1.3 | 59:58 |