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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 25, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Joseph, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Rutta, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:39Shot by Thompson, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 1:41Goal by Olofsson (Thompson, Hagg)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Olofsson, Asplund, Thompson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Point, Rutta

  6. P1 3:40Shot by Rutta, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 4:15Shot by Colton, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 4:47Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 8:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 9:32Shot by Hayden, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 9:33Hayden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Butcher, Hayden, Bjork, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak

  12. P1 9:33Cernak: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Butcher, Hayden, Bjork, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak

  13. P1 9:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Elliott4v4
  14. P1 10:39Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson4v4
  15. P1 11:07Asplund: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Butcher, Olofsson, Asplund, Dahlin · TBL Perry, McDonagh, Stamkos, Point, Sergachev

  16. P1 11:12Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson3v4
  17. P1 12:12Shot by Okposo, saved by Elliott4v5
  18. P1 13:02Shot by Sergachev, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 15:01Shot by Rutta, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 16:21Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 17:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 18:26Goal by Killorn (McDonagh, Joseph)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Butcher, Olofsson, Asplund, Thompson, Dahlin · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli

  23. P1 18:55Shot by Pysyk, saved by Elliott
  24. P1 19:08Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  25. P1 19:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  26. P1 19:47Shot by Cirelli, saved by Anderson
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Sergachev, saved by Anderson
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:13Shot by Raddysh, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 1:15Shot by Katchouk, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 2:01Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 2:14Shot by Joseph, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 2:20Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 2:26Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 4:00Miller: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Miller, Hinostroza, Bryson, Cozens · TBL Perry, Hedman, Colton, Barré-Boulet, Rutta

  37. P2 6:01Shot by Colton, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 11:02Shot by Palat, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 12:35Shot by Perry, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 13:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott
  41. P2 14:07Shot by Bjork, saved by Elliott
  42. P2 15:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 15:07Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 19:22Goal by Caggiula, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Butcher, Caggiula, Dahlin · TBL Stamkos, Palat, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:55Shot by Raddysh, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 1:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 1:07Shot by Olofsson, saved by Elliott
  50. P3 1:32Shot by Hagg, saved by Elliott
  51. P3 3:34Shot by Bellemare, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 4:25Goal by Hinostroza, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hinostroza, Butcher, Asplund, Thompson · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Sustr, Joseph, Colton

  53. P3 4:46Shot by Cirelli, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 6:50Shot by Sustr, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 7:03Shot by Colton, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 9:40Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Elliott
  57. P3 9:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Elliott
  58. P3 9:52Cernak: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Hinostroza, Butcher, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Barré-Boulet

  59. P3 10:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Elliott5v4
  60. P3 10:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Elliott5v4
  61. P3 11:15Shot by Miller, saved by Elliott5v4
  62. P3 12:15Shot by Caggiula, saved by Elliott
  63. P3 12:31Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 14:25Goal by Hagg (Girgensons)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Girgensons, Hagg, Caggiula · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cirelli

  65. P3 16:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson5v6
  66. P3 16:13Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson5v6
  67. P3 16:48Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson5v6
  68. P3 16:53Shot by Sergachev, saved by Anderson5v6
  69. P3 17:30Goal by Olofsson (Asplund, Thompson)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pysyk, Hagg, Olofsson, Asplund, Thompson · TBL Perry, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Point, Cirelli

  70. P3 17:35Shot by Bryson, saved by Elliott
  71. P3 18:24Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Final