Mon, Oct 25, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
38%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.06 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.20 | 76.0% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:56 | 0.28 | 88.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.33 | 80.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:17 | 0.07 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:13 | 0.06 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.27 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.17 | 68.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.34 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.02 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.10 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.30 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.09 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:46 | 0.27 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.17 | 86.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.77 | −1.2 | 57:04 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:08 | 0.05 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.09 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.09 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.45 | 42.1% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.02 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.02 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.05 | 24.4% | +2.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.19 | 28.5% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.04 | 28.2% | +21.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:00 | 0.96 | 23.6% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.04 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.22 | 59.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:00 | 0.30 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.19 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:17 | 0.09 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.09 | 55.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 35 | 1 | .972 | 2.80 | +1.8 | 59:58 |