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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 26, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Cernak, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 1:18Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Colton, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 2:21Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 2:27Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 2:59Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 4:39McDonagh: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  9. P1 4:39Lafferty: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  10. P1 4:39McDonagh: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  11. P1 4:50Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  12. P1 5:32Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 7:22Shot by Colton, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 7:27Shot by Palat, saved by Jarry
  15. P1 7:33Shot by Rutta, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 7:34Lafferty: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Rutta

  17. P1 7:34Perry: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Pettersson, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Rutta

  18. P1 8:57Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 9:43Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 9:47Shot by Sustr, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 9:48Shot by Pettersson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 10:16Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 10:49Shot by O'Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 12:19Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 12:20Sergachev: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · TBL Killorn, Sustr, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev

  26. P1 14:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Jarry5v4
  27. P1 14:42Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 14:44McGinn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Aston-Reese · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Point, Cirelli, Rutta

  29. P1 16:38Shot by Colton, saved by Jarry4v5
  30. P1 16:53Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P1 18:33Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
  32. P1 19:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:31Goal by Point (Killorn, Sergachev)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Blueger, McGinn, Marino, Aston-Reese · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Point, Cirelli, Sergachev

  36. P2 1:08Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 1:31Shot by Sustr, saved by Jarry
  38. P2 5:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 7:03Shot by Bellemare, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 8:24Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 10:38Shot by Lafferty, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 10:55Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 11:02Shot by Boyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 11:04Shot by Boyle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 11:18Goal by Palat (Barré-Boulet, Bellemare)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, Zucker, Heinen, Marino, O'Connor · TBL Palat, Sustr, Bellemare, Sergachev, Barré-Boulet

  46. P2 11:28Goal by McDonagh (Stamkos, Joseph)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Pettersson, Friedman, Heinen, O'Connor · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Palat, Joseph, Rutta

  47. P2 13:39Shot by Blueger, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 14:48Hedman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Pettersson, Rodrigues · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Colton, Rutta

  49. P2 16:37Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  50. P2 16:45Shot by Zucker, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  51. P2 17:10Shot by Point, saved by Jarry
  52. P2 17:27Shot by Heinen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P2 18:16Shot by Friedman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 18:41Shot by Point, saved by Jarry
  55. P2 19:07Shot by Joseph, saved by Jarry
  56. P2 19:14Shot by Sergachev, saved by Jarry
  57. P2 19:33Pettersson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Aston-Reese · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Joseph, Sergachev

  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 2:05Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jarry
  61. P3 7:18Shot by Maroon, saved by Jarry
  62. P3 7:29Shot by Perry, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 9:23Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 10:41Shot by McDonagh, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 10:46Shot by Maroon, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 12:44Shot by Raddysh, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 13:47Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 15:42Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 16:55Goal by Sergachev, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · TBL Perry, Maroon, Hedman, Sergachev, Colton

  70. P3 17:28Barré-Boulet: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Boyle, Ruhwedel, Friedman, Lafferty, Simon · TBL McDonagh, Bellemare, Cernak, Raddysh, Barré-Boulet

  71. P3 17:33Shot by Marino, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  72. P3 17:41Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vasilevskiy6v4
  73. P3 17:43Goal by Zucker (Guentzel)6v40 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli

  74. P3 18:55Goal by Killorn (Palat, McDonagh)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Zucker, Matheson, Guentzel, Kapanen, Marino, Rodrigues · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Hedman, Palat, Bellemare

  75. P3 19:47Shot by Maroon, saved by Jarry
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final