Tue, Oct 26, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 65% of the time.
27%
8%
57%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 26:17 | 0.05 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:16 | 0.03 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:59 | 0.16 | 75.5% | +8.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 21:36 | 0.74 | 45.7% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:39 | 1.23 | 74.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.06 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.21 | 52.3% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.05 | 46.2% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.12 | 59.5% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.01 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.15 | 42.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.08 | 45.4% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.16 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.16 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.10 | 34.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:49 | 0.23 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 6:41 | 0.02 | 77.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.76 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 5 | 25:48 | 0.32 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.26 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.11 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:57 | 0.23 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.05 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.30 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:37 | 0.00 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 16:37 | 0.46 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.16 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.09 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.14 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.21 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.08 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.30 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.04 | 63.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.14 | −0.9 | 58:27 |