Sat, Nov 6, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
55%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:06 | 0.14 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:38 | 0.09 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:50 | 0.11 | 55.1% | +52.8 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.32 | 75.5% | +108.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 19:57 | 0.93 | 82.4% | +55.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 19:22 | 0.75 | 78.7% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 54.8% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.18 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.02 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.12 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:54 | 0.02 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.17 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.01 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:45 | 0.11 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.03 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.04 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:14 | 0.10 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 62:45 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:34 | 0.02 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:03 | 0.03 | 36.5% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:10 | 0.10 | 40.4% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.01 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:44 | 0.20 | 53.9% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:43 | 0.29 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.01 | 38.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.19 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.22 | 59.7% | +43.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.41 | 64.0% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.16 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:46 | 0.28 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.11 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0.23 | 48.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.04 | 74.8% | +14.1 |
| O | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.14 | −0.9 | 62:45 |