Sat, Nov 13, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.
49%
11%
10%
29%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 24:35 | 0.10 | 46.2% | +64.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:41 | 0.02 | 51.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.27 | 33.8% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.20 | 55.2% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.14 | 25.2% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.15 | 54.7% | +34.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.10 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.18 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.10 | 89.6% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.07 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 14:27 | 0.15 | 95.5% | +61.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.06 | 95.0% | +10.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.04 | 27.5% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 8:59 | 0.03 | 16.7% | +16.4 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.11 | −1.9 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:23 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:15 | 0.03 | 69.4% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.06 | 46.6% | +36.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:30 | 0.43 | 72.2% | +28.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 18:59 | 0.58 | 72.8% | +43.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.18 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:54 | 0.11 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.17 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.21 | 66.3% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.12 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.08 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 26.2% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 1.61 | −3.4 | 59:48 |