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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 13, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Kase–MatthewsTavares–Ritchie–MarnerKerfoot–Engvall–KampfSpezza–Bunting–SemyonovBunting–Kase–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–MatthewsBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollDermott–LiljegrenMuzzin–Rielly
Skinner–Asplund–Thompson4:200.13–0.134:030.12–0.031:390.00–0.042:030.25–0.001:080.11–0.107:090.42–0.222:420.12–0.134:030.31–0.030:510.12–0.00
Hinostroza–Caggiula–Cozens5:240.23–0.112:570.06–0.101:040.06–0.040:350.06–0.003:330.23–0.076:250.14–0.111:320.07–0.00
Okposo–Eakin–Girgensons2:150.12–0.002:390.02–0.033:520.01–0.190:560.01–0.003:440.02–0.004:100.09–0.122:170.06–0.00
Hayden–Bjork–Ruotsalainen1:070.00–0.183:320.01–0.102:110.01–0.023:150.01–0.181:340.00–0.142:420.00–0.00
Hinostroza–Thompson–Caggiula0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Miller–Bryson9:410.62–0.073:440.05–0.060:540.00–0.040:380.00–0.105:250.64–0.007:540.18–0.204:160.26–0.07
Pysyk–Dahlin2:220.01–0.092:480.13–0.045:070.01–0.122:500.13–0.005:580.02–0.134:470.24–0.133:190.02–0.030:350.12–0.00
Butcher–Hagg2:480.01–0.143:430.01–0.212:530.06–0.023:300.01–0.142:120.06–0.144:070.06–0.00
Hagg–Dahlin0:330.00–0.080:310.00–0.000:570.00–0.002:230.01–0.08
Miller–Hagg
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCozens FHinostroza FCaggiula FSkinner FThompson FAsplund FEakin FOkposo FGirgensons FHayden FRuotsalainen FBjork FMiller DBryson DPysyk DDahlin DHagg DButcher DDell GKase FMatthews FNylander FMarner FRitchie FTavares FKerfoot FEngvall FKampf FSpezza FBunting FSemyonov FRielly DBrodie DMuzzin DHoll DDermott DLiljegren DWoll G
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2924:350:511:4734
Jacob BrysonBUF2924:230:502:0844
Colin MillerBUF2723:150:522:0854
Jake MuzzinTOR2822:410:491:2534
Rasmus DahlinBUF2822:250:481:4332
TJ BrodieTOR2721:300:481:4724
Justin HollTOR2720:390:461:2524
Tage ThompsonBUF2419:300:491:1670
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:190:531:1533
Jeff SkinnerBUF2418:590:471:1670
Rasmus AsplundBUF2418:410:471:2170
Mark PysykBUF2718:280:411:4312
Mitch MarnerTOR2218:190:501:4712
Robert HaggBUF2017:540:541:3142
Ondrej KaseTOR2217:520:491:2343
John TavaresTOR2017:110:521:4711
William NylanderTOR2116:410:481:1443
Dylan CozensBUF2116:400:481:3841
Kyle OkposoBUF2216:200:451:1757
Nick RitchieTOR1815:400:521:4711
David KampfTOR2215:330:421:1716
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2015:200:461:3447
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1715:090:531:3321
Timothy LiljegrenTOR1915:040:481:4522
Alexander KerfootTOR2114:270:411:1915
Drake CaggiulaBUF1814:000:471:2022
Cody EakinBUF1913:530:441:0936
Travis DermottTOR1713:510:491:3212
Pierre EngvallTOR2113:440:391:3025
Will ButcherBUF1511:450:471:3131
Anders BjorkBUF1511:210:451:3140
Arttu RuotsalainenBUF1510:540:441:3150
Michael BuntingTOR1410:030:431:1610
Kirill SemyonovTOR149:520:421:1100
John HaydenBUF139:190:431:3140
Jason SpezzaTOR128:590:451:0411