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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 16, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.

PIT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski
  3. P1 0:51Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  4. P1 2:16Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski
  5. P1 2:34Shot by Cozens, saved by Jarry
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Asplund, saved by Jarry
  7. P1 3:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Jarry
  8. P1 4:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Jarry
  9. P1 7:33Shot by Eakin, saved by Jarry
  10. P1 7:47Shot by Blueger, saved by Tokarski
  11. P1 8:09Shot by Kapanen, saved by Tokarski
  12. P1 8:11Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  13. P1 9:13Bryson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · BUF Skinner, Miller, Asplund, Thompson, Bryson

  14. P1 9:40Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski5v4
  15. P1 9:47Shot by Crosby, saved by Tokarski5v4
  16. P1 10:43Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski5v4
  17. P1 12:42Shot by Bjork, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 13:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 14:06Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Tokarski
  20. P1 14:28Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  21. P1 15:45Shot by Butcher, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 16:08Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  23. P1 18:17Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  24. P1 19:33Shot by Zucker, saved by Tokarski
  25. P1 19:57Shot by Hagg, saved by Jarry
  26. P1 19:59Shot by Caggiula, saved by Jarry
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:28Goal by Miller (Caggiula, Cozens)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen, Simon · BUF Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens

  30. P2 1:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 1:31Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Tokarski
  32. P2 1:59Shot by Rust, saved by Tokarski
  33. P2 3:12Shot by Marino, saved by Tokarski
  34. P2 3:14Heinen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Pettersson, Heinen, Marino, Simon · BUF Miller, Hayden, Bjork, Bryson, Ruotsalainen

  35. P2 3:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Jarry4v5
  36. P2 4:23Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski4v5
  37. P2 4:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Jarry4v5
  38. P2 5:30Shot by Ruotsalainen, saved by Jarry
  39. P2 7:29Shot by Kapanen, saved by Tokarski
  40. P2 8:54Goal by Okposo (Girgensons, Dahlin)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Guentzel · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Dahlin

  41. P2 11:01Shot by Heinen, saved by Tokarski
  42. P2 11:58Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski
  43. P2 12:14Eakin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Girgensons, Dahlin

  44. P2 13:23Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski5v4
  45. P2 15:21Shot by McGinn, saved by Tokarski
  46. P2 16:31Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  47. P2 17:41Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  48. P2 18:28Pysyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Pettersson, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues, Simon · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Pysyk, Bjork, Dahlin

  49. P2 18:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski5v4
  50. P2 19:28Rust: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Carter, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · BUF Hinostroza, Hagg, Caggiula, Dahlin

  51. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:11Shot by Blueger, saved by Tokarski4v5
  54. P3 2:13Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  55. P3 2:30Pettersson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Carter, Zucker, Kapanen, Pettersson, Marino · BUF Miller, Hinostroza, Hagg, Caggiula, Cozens

  56. P3 3:46Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Tokarski4v5
  57. P3 4:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Tokarski4v5
  58. P3 4:17Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Tokarski4v5
  59. P3 5:10Bjork: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel · BUF Hayden, Bjork, Bryson, Dahlin, Ruotsalainen

  60. P3 5:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Tokarski5v4
  61. P3 5:59Goal by Guentzel (Rust, Crosby)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Carter, Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel · BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Hagg, Caggiula

  62. P3 6:24Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Tokarski
  63. P3 7:34Shot by Carter, saved by Tokarski
  64. P3 7:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Tokarski
  65. P3 8:30Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Tokarski
  66. P3 8:48Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski
  67. P3 8:50Shot by Heinen, saved by Tokarski
  68. P3 9:17Shot by Pettersson, saved by Tokarski
  69. P3 11:46Shot by Marino, saved by Tokarski
  70. P3 11:47Aston-Reese: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino, Aston-Reese · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Hagg, Bjork, Dahlin

  71. P3 11:47Hagg: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino, Aston-Reese · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Hagg, Bjork, Dahlin

  72. P3 11:47Aston-Reese: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Blueger, McGinn, Pettersson, Marino, Aston-Reese · BUF Okposo, Eakin, Hagg, Bjork, Dahlin

  73. P3 12:07Shot by Dahlin, saved by Jarry4v5
  74. P3 15:09Shot by Letang, saved by Tokarski
  75. P3 16:15Shot by Zucker, saved by Tokarski
  76. P3 17:02Shot by Kapanen, saved by Tokarski
  77. P3 17:15Shot by Thompson, saved by Jarry
  78. P3 18:23Shot by Hinostroza, saved by Jarry
  79. P3 18:24Letang: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Blueger, Pettersson, Heinen, Simon · BUF Miller, Hinostroza, Caggiula, Bryson, Cozens

  80. P3 19:38Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski
  81. P3 19:39Shot by Guentzel, saved by Tokarski
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final