Tue, Nov 16, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.
80%
9%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:56 | 0.11 | 63.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:49 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.10 | 30.9% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.02 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.19 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.29 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.01 | 35.6% | +16.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.14 | 30.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.01 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.05 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.09 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.14 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.24 | 50.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.04 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.20 | 56.7% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.08 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.06 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 46 | 45 | 1 | .978 | 4.08 | +3.1 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 26:55 | 0.14 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.03 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.06 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:32 | 0.43 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.33 | 38.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:26 | 0.15 | 45.9% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:18 | 0.68 | 68.4% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:56 | 0.41 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.37 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:12 | 0.22 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:56 | 0.16 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.52 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:36 | 0.09 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.14 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.04 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:20 | 0.25 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.05 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.77 | −0.2 | 58:41 |