Tue, Nov 16, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 85% of the time.
80%
9%
PIT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Asplund–Thompson | Hinostroza–Caggiula–Cozens | Okposo–Eakin–Girgensons | Hayden–Bjork–Ruotsalainen | Eakin–Hinostroza–Caggiula | Okposo–Girgensons–Ruotsalainen | Hinostroza–Bjork–Ruotsalainen | Miller–Bryson | Pysyk–Dahlin | Butcher–Hagg | Pysyk–Hagg | Hagg–Dahlin | Hagg–Bryson | Pysyk–Butcher | Butcher–Bryson | Bryson–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter–Zucker–Kapanen | 2:030.08–0.08 | 2:230.06–0.11 | 1:410.10–0.01 | 1:470.09–0.00 | 0:510.13–0.06 | 2:570.14–0.06 | 3:430.27–0.09 | 2:330.03–0.11 | 0:310.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Blueger–McGinn–Aston-Reese | 3:380.10–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:410.07–0.08 | 2:400.07–0.12 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:270.11–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Crosby–Rust–Guentzel | 1:420.00–0.00 | 2:030.20–0.11 | 0:570.00–0.14 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:000.09–0.00 | 3:180.23–0.00 | 3:100.00–0.25 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:440.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Heinen–Rodrigues–Simon | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:020.10–0.00 | 1:530.05–0.00 | 0:500.07–0.00 | 1:590.03–0.00 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Crosby–Heinen–Simon | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:540.03–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Rust–Guentzel–Rodrigues | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Letang–Dumoulin | 2:540.06–0.05 | 4:250.22–0.10 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 1:200.09–0.00 | 1:460.09–0.00 | 7:060.29–0.14 | 2:280.06–0.00 | 3:460.11–0.04 | 0:510.03–0.00 | 0:340.06–0.00 | |||||
| Pettersson–Marino | 1:270.05–0.08 | 2:020.24–0.22 | 2:240.29–0.00 | 2:130.03–0.00 | 0:430.03–0.06 | 3:110.47–0.06 | 4:410.21–0.19 | 1:590.04–0.11 | ||||||||
| Matheson–Ruhwedel | 2:340.07–0.01 | 0:360.10–0.00 | 3:120.10–0.23 | 0:580.05–0.00 | 0:310.13–0.00 | 2:050.21–0.08 | 2:300.03–0.15 | 2:120.07–0.01 | 1:000.14–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Matheson–Marino | 1:080.04–0.19 | 1:040.04–0.19 | ||||||||||||||
| Letang–Pettersson | ||||||||||||||||
| Letang–Matheson | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Pettersson | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Kris LetangPIT | 23 | 26:55 | 1:10 | 2:52 | 6 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 22:56 | 0:49 | 2:19 | 3 | 8 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 33 | 22:49 | 0:41 | 1:53 | 6 | 6 |
 Brian DumoulinPIT | 26 | 22:10 | 0:51 | 2:20 | 5 | 8 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 29 | 21:31 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 4 | 6 |
 John MarinoPIT | 25 | 21:11 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 5 | 3 |
 Jeff CarterPIT | 23 | 20:32 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 6 | 3 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 28 | 18:54 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 2 | 10 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 21 | 18:53 | 0:54 | 1:40 | 7 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 18:30 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 5 | 0 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:56 | 0:51 | 1:35 | 5 | 1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 17:53 | 0:51 | 1:47 | 6 | 8 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 22 | 17:41 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 7 | 8 |
 Robert HaggBUF | 23 | 16:51 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 3 | 5 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 19 | 16:26 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 8 | 0 |
 Jake GuentzelPIT | 18 | 16:18 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 7 | 0 |
 Evan RodriguesPIT | 19 | 15:56 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Jason ZuckerPIT | 17 | 15:31 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenPIT | 18 | 15:12 | 0:51 | 2:08 | 4 | 1 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 14:57 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Marcus PetterssonPIT | 21 | 14:56 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 1 |
 Arttu RuotsalainenBUF | 15 | 14:47 | 0:59 | 1:47 | 2 | 2 |
 Teddy BluegerPIT | 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 7 |
 Mike MathesonPIT | 17 | 14:36 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaBUF | 19 | 14:33 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Brock McGinnPIT | 17 | 13:54 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 1 | 6 |
 Drake CaggiulaBUF | 19 | 13:45 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Will ButcherBUF | 15 | 12:56 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Chad RuhwedelPIT | 15 | 12:52 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 18 | 12:34 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 18 | 12:23 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 4 | 7 |
 Danton HeinenPIT | 15 | 12:20 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 4 | 1 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 13 | 11:47 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 1 | 2 |
 John HaydenBUF | 12 | 10:16 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Zachary Aston-ReesePIT | 12 | 9:52 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 0 | 3 |
 Dominik SimonPIT | 13 | 9:32 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |