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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 2, 2021·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 4, Florida Panthers 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 86% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Olofsson–ThompsonGirgensons–Asplund–MittelstadtOkposo–Murray–CozensEakin–Jankowski–HinostrozaPysyk–DahlinMiller–HaggJokiharju–BrysonMiller–Bryson
Hornqvist–Lomberg–Luostarinen4:220.12–0.000:450.00–0.001:210.00–0.063:100.15–0.001:390.05–0.063:260.22–0.06
Huberdeau–Reinhart–Bennett1:370.20–0.161:020.09–0.001:520.51–0.002:570.71–0.000:540.08–0.001:160.00–0.23
Thornton–Vatrano–Tippett0:520.18–0.031:210.07–0.023:110.07–0.001:200.00–0.003:300.13–0.020:520.18–0.03
Huberdeau–Verhaeghe–Bennett1:510.09–0.002:230.02–0.132:450.06–0.031:180.05–0.101:260.14–0.00
Reinhart–Mamin–Lundell0:370.00–0.131:490.11–0.050:430.00–0.001:330.13–0.131:230.04–0.000:380.00–0.05
Verhaeghe–Mamin–Lundell0:440.14–0.000:370.00–0.001:450.13–0.001:160.13–0.000:480.00–0.00
Verhaeghe–Mamin–Luostarinen0:340.00–0.111:010.08–0.150:480.00–0.00
Hornqvist–Lomberg–Lundell1:180.05–0.051:030.05–0.05
Verhaeghe–Reinhart–Lundell0:450.00–0.000:560.07–0.00
Hornqvist–Mamin–Luostarinen0:330.00–0.31
Weegar–Ekblad4:310.24–0.123:040.15–0.312:590.14–0.032:290.25–0.007:140.54–0.182:320.21–0.053:120.33–0.10
Montour–Carlsson1:160.00–0.130:480.07–0.001:190.24–0.103:110.36–0.002:310.33–0.132:500.16–0.100:360.00–0.00
Gudas–Kiersted1:130.05–0.002:290.00–0.211:240.00–0.000:550.05–0.002:590.00–0.05
Weegar–Montour1:060.00–0.061:010.05–0.002:310.05–0.060:470.00–0.23
Ekblad–Carlsson1:140.21–0.001:070.20–0.061:200.20–0.000:460.08–0.000:540.17–0.060:440.00–0.00
Gudas–Weegar1:500.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:460.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Gudas–Carlsson0:400.05–0.001:360.18–0.001:540.05–0.021:020.26–0.00
Ekblad–Kiersted0:540.05–0.020:460.06–0.020:460.05–0.00
Montour–Kiersted0:340.03–0.000:390.03–0.00
Gudas–Montour0:510.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndReinhart FLundell FMamin FHuberdeau FBennett FVerhaeghe FHornqvist FTippett FVatrano FThornton FLuostarinen FLomberg FCarlsson DMontour DEkblad DWeegar DKiersted DGudas DBobrovsky GKnight GSkinner FOlofsson FThompson FMittelstadt FAsplund FGirgensons FOkposo FJankowski FEakin FHinostroza FMurray FCozens FPysyk DDahlin DJokiharju DBryson DHagg DMiller DDell G
FLABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

MacKenzie WeegarFLA3130:010:583:0663
Aaron EkbladFLA3128:510:562:3463
Rasmus DahlinBUF2625:140:582:4726
Jonathan HuberdeauFLA2419:500:501:5942
Colin MillerBUF2319:180:502:2713
Jeff SkinnerBUF1819:151:042:2221
Sam BennettFLA2319:140:501:5431
Mark PysykBUF2819:050:411:1125
Casey MittelstadtBUF2319:020:502:3734
Tage ThompsonBUF1918:490:592:2210
Victor OlofssonBUF1918:360:592:2921
Robert HaggBUF2318:150:481:5413
Sam ReinhartFLA2118:000:511:3240
Jacob BrysonBUF2517:130:411:3222
Ryan LombergFLA2217:100:471:3325
Radko GudasFLA1916:590:541:5523
Carter VerhaegheFLA2416:460:421:3412
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2616:440:391:2516
Brandon MontourFLA2216:390:451:2111
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2416:250:411:1222
Henri JokiharjuBUF2216:060:441:1821
Anton LundellFLA2315:590:421:0513
Kyle OkposoBUF2215:030:411:5414
Lucas CarlssonFLA2114:500:421:2141
Rasmus AsplundBUF2014:450:441:0723
Dylan CozensBUF1814:200:481:4722
Patric HornqvistFLA2213:420:371:1413
Vinnie HinostrozaBUF1511:400:471:1824
Maxim MaminFLA1911:370:371:1201
Brett MurrayBUF1711:330:411:5422
Frank VatranoFLA1611:170:421:2151
Cody EakinBUF1611:070:421:0524
Mark JankowskiBUF1510:450:431:3214
Matt KierstedFLA139:230:431:1511
Owen TippettFLA129:140:461:1680
Joe ThorntonFLA118:000:441:1360