Sat, Dec 4, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
30%
OTT winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–Burakovsky–MacKinnon | Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Nichushkin–Rantanen–O'Connor | Helm–Aube-Kubel–Newhook | Burakovsky–O'Connor–Newhook | Megna–MacKinnon–Jost | Helm–Nichushkin–Jost | Toews–Girard | Johnson–Johnson | Johnson–Girard | Johnson–MacDonald | Johnson–Girard | Girard–MacDonald | Johnson–Toews | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | 6:180.69–0.12 | 5:470.03–0.26 | 10:190.44–0.35 | 0:440.27–0.06 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 0:450.01–0.03 | ||||||||
| Brown–Paul–Stützle | 0:450.00–0.06 | 4:220.41–0.06 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 4:370.38–0.15 | 1:580.18–0.04 | ||||||
| Ennis–Tierney–Formenton | 0:480.00–0.02 | 0:530.01–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Watson–Sanford–Gambrell | 2:000.00–0.21 | 0:550.00–0.03 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:170.21–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.21 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Watson–Paul–Gambrell | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Brown–Sanford–Stützle | ||||||||||||||
| Ennis–Gambrell–Formenton | ||||||||||||||
| Chabot–Zaitsev | 7:160.42–0.12 | 6:310.33–0.27 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.01 | 12:450.49–0.38 | 1:140.02–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.01 | 1:020.01–0.01 | 0:320.26–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.06 | ||||
| Holden–Zub | 0:400.27–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.06 | 3:570.36–0.03 | 1:080.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:170.03–0.00 | 4:190.62–0.06 | 2:130.13–0.03 | 1:050.07–0.23 | 0:480.00–0.19 | |||
| Heatherington–Thomson | 2:530.07–0.09 | 1:200.00–0.09 | 2:430.05–0.15 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:560.11–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Heatherington–Zub |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Devon ToewsCOL | 35 | 31:17 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 7 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 31 | 27:39 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 5 | 4 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 32 | 27:25 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 6 | 5 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 32 | 27:22 | 0:51 | 2:58 | 7 | 5 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 29 | 23:23 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 3 | 4 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 28 | 23:14 | 0:50 | 2:20 | 5 | 5 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 29 | 22:07 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 2 | 8 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 31 | 21:35 | 0:42 | 2:16 | 1 | 3 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 30 | 20:44 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 5 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 29 | 20:31 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 8 | 6 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 25 | 20:15 | 0:49 | 2:40 | 6 | 8 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 29 | 19:51 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 6 | 6 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 26 | 18:58 | 0:44 | 2:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 29 | 18:57 | 0:39 | 1:20 | 2 | 4 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 30 | 18:24 | 0:37 | 1:34 | 2 | 5 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 23 | 18:02 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 1 | 5 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 5 | 2 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 25 | 16:22 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 1 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 21 | 14:33 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 20 | 14:19 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 18 | 13:38 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisOTT | 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Zachary SanfordOTT | 19 | 13:00 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 5 | 1 |
 Kurtis MacDermidCOL | 18 | 13:00 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Dillon HeatheringtonOTT | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 3 | 0 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 20 | 12:47 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 3 | 3 |
 Lassi ThomsonOTT | 18 | 12:37 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelCOL | 15 | 12:09 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 1 | 5 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 16 | 12:08 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 21 | 12:08 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 19 | 10:59 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 3 | 4 |
 Darren HelmCOL | 17 | 9:27 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 1 | 5 |
 Jayson MegnaCOL | 11 | 7:43 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob MacDonaldCOL | 10 | 6:11 | 0:37 | 0:51 | 0 | 2 |