Sat, Dec 11, 2021·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 3, Buffalo Sabres 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 66% of the time.
26%
8%
59%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 26:04 | 0.21 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:36 | 0.63 | 47.3% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 24:26 | 0.37 | 49.9% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.05 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:21 | 0.54 | 37.4% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.09 | 32.5% | +27.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.20 | 40.5% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.15 | 37.8% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:31 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.03 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:33 | 0.23 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.01 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:50 | 1.03 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.02 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:50 | 0.17 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 64:47 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:08 | 0.02 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25:22 | 0.19 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.08 | 58.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.29 | 47.3% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.25 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.07 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.09 | 61.9% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.09 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.05 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.35 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.12 | 28.5% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.31 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.10 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 80.6% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.24 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:48 | 0.42 | 48.4% | +14.4 |
| O | 42 | 40 | 2 | .952 | 3.75 | +1.7 | 65:00 |