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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 11, 2021·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 0, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nash–Katchouk–FortierKillorn–Joseph–ColtonPerry–Maroon–BellemareStamkos–Palat–RaddyshStamkos–Palat–JosephKillorn–Raddysh–ColtonHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–SergachevHedman–FooteClaesson–FooteSergachev–FooteMcDonagh–ClaessonClaesson–SergachevMcDonagh–FooteClaesson–Rutta
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk2:470.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:510.13–0.074:200.26–0.331:220.00–0.004:140.21–0.162:160.13–0.001:090.00–0.170:370.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:310.05–0.07
Brown–Formenton–Stützle0:520.00–0.002:580.14–0.002:080.03–0.000:510.05–0.001:360.00–0.131:090.00–0.002:180.05–0.001:220.00–0.131:280.01–0.000:550.10–0.000:470.02–0.000:440.09–0.00
Watson–Paul–Gambrell2:450.10–0.251:250.00–0.041:430.04–0.001:540.00–0.041:050.00–0.001:040.04–0.001:080.10–0.000:470.00–0.37
Ennis–Tierney–Sanford1:010.11–0.012:350.22–0.191:440.01–0.030:320.00–0.002:410.12–0.200:430.11–0.000:380.01–0.000:500.10–0.00
Tierney–Brown–Formenton1:160.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Ennis–Sanford–Stützle0:590.00–0.29
Ennis–Paul–Gambrell0:460.00–0.23
Holden–Zub1:310.00–0.126:400.34–0.362:040.05–0.001:340.00–0.001:210.00–0.133:070.00–0.033:320.14–0.193:120.00–0.541:080.04–0.000:530.01–0.000:490.11–0.000:440.09–0.00
Chabot–Zaitsev2:270.10–0.011:140.03–0.104:170.31–0.331:380.05–0.003:290.21–0.161:540.03–0.011:210.00–0.170:310.10–0.001:340.10–0.000:450.00–0.000:450.05–0.07
Heatherington–Mete2:410.11–0.253:410.01–0.001:230.00–0.001:200.00–0.001:210.12–0.000:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.37
Chabot–Zub1:110.00–0.000:330.13–0.000:420.13–0.000:330.00–0.150:390.00–0.00
Holden–Zaitsev0:560.02–0.020:530.00–0.000:510.00–0.020:320.00–0.120:370.00–0.00
Mete–Zub0:490.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFormenton FStützle FBrown FBatherson FTkachuk FNorris FPaul FGambrell FWatson FTierney FSanford FEnnis FZub DHolden DZaitsev DChabot DMete DHeatherington DForsberg GJoseph FKillorn FColton FRaddysh FPalat FStamkos FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FKatchouk FNash FFortier FMcDonagh DSergachev DRutta DHedman DClaesson DFoote DElliott G
OTTTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Artem ZubOTT2825:160:542:5432
Nick HoldenOTT2725:110:562:1155
Victor HedmanTBL2425:061:032:1131
Ryan McDonaghTBL2422:400:571:4326
Nikita ZaitsevOTT2622:290:521:4915
Mikhail SergachevTBL2622:240:521:2025
Alex KillornTBL2322:150:582:5771
Thomas ChabotOTT2420:230:512:5841
Connor BrownOTT2419:140:481:2132
Steven StamkosTBL2117:470:511:4264
Ross ColtonTBL2017:310:531:2542
Drake BathersonOTT2016:550:512:0742
Alex FormentonOTT2116:280:471:1810
Tim StützleOTT1516:221:051:5220
Ondrej PalatTBL1916:140:511:4263
Cal FooteTBL2015:590:481:2601
Brady TkachukOTT2015:410:472:0742
Corey PerryTBL1915:370:491:1730
Josh NorrisOTT2015:340:472:0753
Taylor RaddyshTBL2015:290:461:3363
Mathieu JosephTBL2015:280:461:1527
Jan RuttaTBL1815:160:511:3514
Nick PaulOTT1814:360:491:3405
Dylan GambrellOTT1714:020:501:2600
Victor MeteOTT1813:550:461:3701
Patrick MaroonTBL1613:240:501:1320
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL1713:180:471:1514
Riley NashTBL1812:500:431:2800
Zachary SanfordOTT1812:490:431:3150
Fredrik ClaessonTBL1512:090:491:2400
Austin WatsonOTT1711:400:411:3504
Chris TierneyOTT1511:060:441:1531
Boris KatchoukTBL1511:000:441:1000
Tyler EnnisOTT1310:290:481:3140
Gabriel FortierTBL1510:260:421:1000
Dillon HeatheringtonOTT118:040:441:1500