Thu, Dec 16, 2021·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Ottawa Senators 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 71% of the time.
62%
9%
22%
TBL winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk | Brown–Formenton–Stützle | Ennis–Tierney–Sanford | Watson–Paul–Gambrell | Paul–Batherson–Stützle | Chabot–Zub | Holden–Mete | Holden–Zub | Heatherington–Mete | Chabot–Zaitsev | Holden–Chabot | Chabot–Mete | Holden–Heatherington | Heatherington–Chabot | Mete–Zub | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Palat–Joseph | 0:460.00–0.00 | 5:350.26–0.31 | 1:390.04–0.08 | 1:520.03–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:030.08–0.12 | 2:150.00–0.11 | 2:140.07–0.04 | 0:430.06–0.16 | 1:310.03–0.00 | 1:290.05–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.00 | ||
| Killorn–Cirelli–Colton | 7:480.31–0.37 | 0:390.09–0.00 | 4:320.29–0.34 | 1:130.07–0.05 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:340.02–0.01 | 0:380.09–0.16 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Perry–Maroon–Bellemare | 1:160.14–0.03 | 2:060.00–0.08 | 6:090.24–0.09 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 2:410.22–0.06 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 2:130.17–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.08 | 0:490.05–0.00 | 1:440.03–0.05 | |||||
| Nash–Katchouk–Raddysh | 1:040.11–0.00 | 3:020.20–0.03 | 0:550.02–0.03 | 0:510.20–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:350.11–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Stamkos–Palat–Cirelli | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Bogosian | 8:520.37–0.37 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.05 | 1:560.20–0.08 | 4:320.10–0.27 | 0:570.07–0.10 | 1:310.20–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:090.07–0.00 | 1:480.15–0.01 | 2:090.11–0.13 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.11 | ||
| Hedman–Rutta | 1:420.26–0.00 | 4:230.13–0.15 | 1:390.07–0.03 | 1:100.09–0.00 | 0:580.07–0.00 | 3:270.43–0.22 | 2:120.07–0.03 | 1:100.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:330.10–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 0:560.09–0.16 | ||
| Sergachev–Foote | 2:290.06–0.16 | 5:250.17–0.09 | 2:100.08–0.03 | 2:240.08–0.14 | 0:580.01–0.08 | 1:450.00–0.01 | 2:370.22–0.16 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||
| Sergachev–Rutta | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:510.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.09 | |||||||||||
| Bogosian–Hedman | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Rutta | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Sergachev | 1:070.14–0.03 | 1:070.14–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Sergachev |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 35 | 30:06 | 0:52 | 2:14 | 9 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 29 | 25:28 | 0:53 | 2:28 | 4 | 3 |
 Nick HoldenOTT | 30 | 24:38 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 22:53 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 24 | 21:52 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 25 | 21:31 | 0:52 | 2:14 | 9 | 2 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 24 | 21:15 | 0:53 | 1:44 | 0 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 25 | 20:54 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 9 | 2 |
 Victor MeteOTT | 26 | 20:05 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 19 | 19:48 | 1:03 | 1:57 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 25 | 19:33 | 0:47 | 2:27 | 7 | 3 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 20 | 18:46 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 3 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 21 | 18:39 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 5 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 18:08 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 21 | 17:09 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor BrownOTT | 21 | 16:55 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianTBL | 19 | 16:40 | 0:53 | 1:44 | 0 | 2 |
 Jan RuttaTBL | 22 | 16:39 | 0:45 | 1:31 | 2 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 19 | 16:25 | 0:52 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 17 | 16:18 | 0:58 | 1:27 | 0 | 3 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 17 | 15:41 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 18 | 14:10 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 17 | 13:59 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL | 17 | 13:23 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick PaulOTT | 17 | 13:01 | 0:46 | 1:47 | 1 | 4 |
 Cal FooteTBL | 15 | 12:45 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 0 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisOTT | 14 | 12:22 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Dillon HeatheringtonOTT | 15 | 12:17 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Zachary SanfordOTT | 15 | 12:04 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 2:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Taylor RaddyshTBL | 14 | 11:26 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 5 | 2 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 14 | 10:58 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 17 | 10:31 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 1 | 5 |
 Riley NashTBL | 17 | 9:13 | 0:33 | 1:09 | 0 | 4 |
 Boris KatchoukTBL | 11 | 6:41 | 0:36 | 0:55 | 0 | 0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 7 | 4:26 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |