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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 10, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  4. P1 0:53Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 2:13Shot by Kase, saved by Markstrom
  6. P1 2:24Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  7. P1 2:41Shot by Zadorov, saved by Campbell
  8. P1 2:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  9. P1 3:16Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Campbell
  10. P1 3:26Coleman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Andersson, Kylington · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  11. P1 3:36Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell4v5
  12. P1 3:41Shot by Tanev, saved by Campbell4v5
  13. P1 5:29Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  14. P1 5:41Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Campbell
  15. P1 7:08Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 7:18Shot by Liljegren, saved by Markstrom
  17. P1 7:29Shot by Kase, saved by Markstrom
  18. P1 7:30Tavares: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Gudbranson, Monahan, Kylington, Dube · TOR Kase, Dermott, Matthews, Liljegren, Mikheyev

  19. P1 7:47Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom5v4
  20. P1 9:01Brodie: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Kylington · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Engvall

  21. P1 9:23Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell5v3
  22. P1 10:03Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell5v4
  23. P1 10:46Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom5v4
  24. P1 10:59Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom5v4
  25. P1 12:17Shot by Spezza, saved by Markstrom
  26. P1 12:24Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  27. P1 12:28Shot by Kase, saved by Markstrom
  28. P1 12:32Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  29. P1 14:36Holl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Gudbranson, Ritchie, Monahan, Zadorov, Dube · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  30. P1 15:08Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom5v4
  31. P1 17:46Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  32. P1 18:14Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Campbell
  33. P1 18:21Rielly: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Gudbranson, Monahan, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase

  34. P1 18:21Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Gudbranson, Monahan, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase

  35. P1 18:21Rielly: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Lewis, Gudbranson, Monahan, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Spezza, Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kase

  36. P1 18:33Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom5v4
  37. P1 19:53Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell5v4
  38. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:18Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom5v4
  41. P2 1:44Shot by Coleman, saved by Campbell
  42. P2 3:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom
  43. P2 3:15Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  44. P2 3:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  45. P2 3:47Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 3:49Goal by Sandin (Nylander, Tavares)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin

  47. P2 4:13Goal by Mangiapane (Backlund, Coleman)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Mangiapane, Kylington · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  48. P2 5:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Markstrom
  49. P2 5:47Shot by Holl, saved by Markstrom
  50. P2 6:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  51. P2 6:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom
  52. P2 7:10Backlund: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Gudbranson, Coleman, Zadorov, Mangiapane · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Holl, Nylander, Matthews, Mikheyev

  53. P2 7:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom4v5
  54. P2 7:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom4v5
  55. P2 8:44Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom4v5
  56. P2 11:38Shot by Kylington, saved by Campbell
  57. P2 12:47Shot by Ritchie, saved by Campbell
  58. P2 12:51Shot by Monahan, saved by Campbell
  59. P2 13:03Goal by Hanifin (Andersson, Tkachuk)+24 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin

  60. P2 13:32Nylander: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Sandin

  61. P2 13:35Goal by Kylington (Hanifin, Backlund)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Lucic, Backlund, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Kylington · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  62. P2 15:54Goal by Lindholm (Gaudreau, Tanev)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Tanev, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Kylington, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Matthews

  63. P2 16:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  64. P2 16:08Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom
  68. P3 0:40Shot by Backlund, saved by Campbell
  69. P3 1:03Shot by Andersson, saved by Campbell
  70. P3 1:16Goal by Andersson, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Gaudreau, Lindholm, Hanifin, Andersson, Tkachuk · TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander

  71. P3 2:52Shot by Dube, saved by Campbell
  72. P3 3:49Shot by Lindholm, saved by Campbell
  73. P3 5:06Goal by Bunting (Matthews, Liljegren)+1 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson · TOR Bunting, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren, Sandin

  74. P3 7:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  75. P3 8:17Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  76. P3 8:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Markstrom
  77. P3 8:39Shot by Holl, saved by Markstrom
  78. P3 9:23Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom
  79. P3 10:13Shot by Engvall, saved by Markstrom
  80. P3 10:14Gudbranson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev

  81. P3 10:14Brodie: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev

  82. P3 10:14Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CGY Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev

  83. P3 10:14Kampf: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Gudbranson, Gaudreau, Lindholm, Zadorov, Tkachuk · TOR Brodie, Rielly, Engvall, Kampf, Mikheyev

  84. P3 11:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Markstrom
  85. P3 11:26Shot by Muzzin, saved by Markstrom
  86. P3 11:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Markstrom
  87. P3 12:14Monahan: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Ritchie, Monahan, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube · TOR Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Dermott, Mikheyev

  88. P3 13:05Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom4v5
  89. P3 13:14Shot by Tavares, saved by Markstrom4v5
  90. P3 13:25Shot by Marner, saved by Markstrom4v5
  91. P3 16:56Shot by Tanev, saved by Campbell
  92. P3 18:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Markstrom
  93. P3 19:51Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Markstrom
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final