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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 10, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000−1323:300.0539.4%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #1600001021:590.5474.5%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88011−2120:030.0847.7%+18.7
Auston MatthewsC · #34011−1819:320.4660.7%+1.3
Jake MuzzinD · #8000−2519:210.1467.0%0.0
Justin HollD · #3000−3219:120.0463.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #91011−1518:460.3154.7%+18.7
TJ BrodieD · #780000018:070.0040.5%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15000−2216:490.2455.2%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #650000116:410.0163.4%0.0
Pierre EngvallLW · #470000315:090.2746.3%0.0
David KampfC · #640000014:540.0060.0%0.0
Rasmus SandinD · #38101+1114:390.0566.2%+18.7
Michael BuntingLW · #581010214:350.1759.3%+1.3
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37011+1113:100.0376.1%+1.3
Jason SpezzaC · #190000112:300.0152.9%0.0
Travis DermottD · #23000008:380.0096.2%0.0
Ondrej KaseRW · #25000034:170.0880.3%0.0
Jack Campbell#36L26215.8082.05−3.059:58

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Chris TanevD · #8011+2221:390.0334.6%+6.2
Rasmus AnderssonD · #41120220:410.0741.3%+25.5
Noah HanifinD · #551120119:550.0751.4%+37.7
Oliver KylingtonD · #58101+2219:540.1136.6%+14.0
Elias LindholmC · #28101+2319:490.1439.5%+6.2
Erik GudbransonD · #440000018:480.0043.6%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #110220318:390.2542.3%+32.7
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #881010218:260.1142.3%+18.8
Johnny GaudreauLW · #13011+2117:280.2447.0%+6.2
Matthew TkachukLW · #19011+2217:140.3140.9%+23.7
Blake ColemanLW · #200110115:380.0145.7%+18.8
Nikita ZadorovD · #160000115:380.0163.4%0.0
Milan LucicLW · #170000014:510.0019.9%0.0
Trevor LewisC · #220000014:190.0015.1%0.0
Sean MonahanC · #230000412:420.4960.5%0.0
Adam RuzickaC · #630000011:160.002.8%0.0
Dillon DubeC · #29000019:210.1143.7%0.0
Brett RitchieRW · #24000017:420.1073.7%0.0
Jacob Markstrom#25W48462.9582.50+0.560:00