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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 10, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Calgary Flames 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Kerfoot–NylanderEngvall–Kampf–MikheyevSpezza–Engvall–MikheyevSpezza–Tavares–KerfootNylander–Marner–MatthewsSpezza–Kase–MikheyevBrodie–RiellyMuzzin–HollLiljegren–SandinDermott–LiljegrenRielly–SandinDermott–SandinHoll–LiljegrenHoll–SandinMuzzin–Dermott
Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane5:100.26–0.311:240.00–0.071:050.00–0.000:570.02–0.004:510.17–0.082:200.11–0.201:170.00–0.08
Gaudreau–Lindholm–Tkachuk5:120.30–0.411:080.00–0.031:520.04–0.133:360.21–0.272:020.07–0.14
Lewis–Lucic–Ruzicka2:580.00–0.321:240.00–0.001:440.00–0.000:590.01–0.002:000.00–0.002:170.01–0.290:480.00–0.001:500.00–0.050:310.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Ritchie–Monahan–Dube1:440.01–0.072:270.00–0.031:560.23–0.002:290.11–0.040:530.00–0.00
Lewis–Lucic–Monahan0:380.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Tanev–Kylington7:090.27–0.761:260.02–0.241:040.01–0.002:480.27–0.103:420.20–0.651:010.00–0.070:500.01–0.061:320.11–0.08
Hanifin–Andersson1:320.00–0.054:540.29–0.280:530.00–0.020:380.02–0.004:320.09–0.073:110.22–0.102:080.07–0.17
Gudbranson–Zadorov0:500.00–0.000:470.00–0.035:090.00–0.041:320.00–0.000:470.00–0.143:200.17–0.033:330.03–0.081:200.04–0.000:480.00–0.030:510.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Tanev–Gudbranson0:370.00–0.00
Tanev–Zadorov0:520.00–0.00
Zadorov–Kylington
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FColeman FMangiapane FGaudreau FTkachuk FLindholm FLucic FLewis FRuzicka FRitchie FMonahan FDube FAndersson DHanifin DTanev DKylington DZadorov DGudbranson DMarkstrom GMarner FMatthews FBunting FKerfoot FNylander FTavares FMikheyev FKampf FKase FEngvall FSpezza FRielly DBrodie DHoll DMuzzin DLiljegren DSandin DDermott DCampbell G
CGYTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2523:300:562:1771
Mitch MarnerTOR2821:590:471:3873
Chris TanevCGY3221:390:412:2839
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3120:410:401:1834
William NylanderTOR2220:030:551:5461
Noah HanifinCGY3119:550:391:0805
Oliver KylingtonCGY3019:540:401:3945
Elias LindholmCGY2719:490:441:1867
Auston MatthewsTOR2619:320:451:3850
Jake MuzzinTOR2919:210:401:2136
Justin HollTOR2719:120:431:4226
Erik GudbransonCGY2718:480:422:2835
John TavaresTOR2218:460:511:3850
Mikael BacklundCGY2518:390:451:2316
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2618:260:431:2316
TJ BrodieTOR2518:070:431:1142
Johnny GaudreauCGY2317:280:461:1863
Matthew TkachukCGY2317:140:451:5753
Alexander KerfootTOR2216:490:461:1421
Ilya MikheyevTOR2416:410:421:1312
Blake ColemanCGY2315:380:411:2306
Nikita ZadorovCGY2515:380:381:3022
Pierre EngvallTOR2215:090:411:0713
David KampfTOR2214:540:411:1706
Milan LucicCGY2014:510:451:3431
Rasmus SandinTOR1914:390:461:0401
Michael BuntingTOR2214:350:401:0440
Trevor LewisCGY1914:190:451:3024
Timothy LiljegrenTOR1913:100:421:3301
Sean MonahanCGY1812:420:421:5511
Jason SpezzaTOR1712:300:441:0212
Adam RuzickaCGY1611:160:421:1621
Dillon DubeCGY189:210:311:0510
Travis DermottTOR138:380:401:0200
Brett RitchieCGY167:420:290:5311
Ondrej KaseTOR64:170:431:0200