Fri, Dec 17, 2021·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 92% of the time.
88%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:27 | 0.06 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:47 | 0.06 | 10.7% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.03 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:41 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.03 | 23.4% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.23 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.03 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.05 | 50.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.11 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.01 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.21 | 69.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.10 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.10 | 7.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:36 | 0.37 | 61.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.06 | 33.4% | +34.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.05 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 4.71 | +1.7 | 62:53 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 26:29 | 0.18 | 49.6% | +66.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.05 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 22:36 | 1.05 | 52.5% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.04 | 93.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:53 | 0.37 | 54.6% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 18:52 | 0.98 | 86.1% | +47.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.39 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.19 | 64.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:11 | 0.29 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 79.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.01 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:50 | 0.41 | 79.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.01 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.05 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.10 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 9:57 | 0.35 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.23 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.60 | −0.4 | 62:53 |