Tue, Dec 21, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 75% of the time.
67%
18%
VGK winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:08 | 0.05 | 35.9% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:12 | 0.04 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.02 | 67.3% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:39 | 0.28 | 60.2% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.38 | 41.9% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.02 | 31.3% | +24.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.16 | 34.3% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.06 | 13.9% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.07 | 57.5% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.23 | 57.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 6.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:44 | 0.22 | 57.2% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:28 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:32 | 0.06 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.21 | 43.9% | +11.5 |
| – | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.00 | 0.0 | 0:03 | |
| W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.33 | +0.3 | 59:57 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:40 | 0.04 | 53.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25:33 | 0.07 | 56.4% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:16 | 0.61 | 76.3% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.11 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.01 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.11 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.01 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.12 | 72.9% | +20.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.52 | 46.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17:36 | 0.48 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.12 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.02 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.30 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.15 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.15 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:19 | 0.11 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 7:47 | 0.42 | 81.4% | +32.6 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 1.90 | −2.1 | 58:12 |