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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 21, 2021·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 75% of the time.

VGK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perry–Maroon–BellemareKillorn–Cirelli–ColtonStamkos–Palat–JosephNash–Raddysh–FortierStamkos–Palat–CirelliKillorn–Joseph–ColtonMcDonagh–BogosianHedman–RuttaSergachev–FooteHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–FooteSergachev–RuttaBogosian–HedmanHedman–FooteBogosian–Sergachev
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault2:590.06–0.002:250.03–0.201:120.00–0.040:320.00–0.001:150.01–0.000:380.05–0.004:320.11–0.160:400.01–0.000:440.01–0.002:490.00–0.050:580.00–0.041:020.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Stephenson–Janmark0:480.01–0.001:530.00–0.061:120.00–0.001:340.07–0.000:470.01–0.001:540.01–0.060:550.00–0.001:370.04–0.002:000.07–0.00
Janmark–Kolesar–Roy2:050.00–0.171:440.03–0.021:010.10–0.060:340.00–0.001:520.00–0.032:210.03–0.160:480.00–0.00
Carrier–Amadio–Howden0:470.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:280.15–0.211:330.00–0.001:580.15–0.220:420.44–0.000:440.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Stone–Stephenson0:500.00–0.002:300.23–0.001:100.03–0.001:510.13–0.002:090.15–0.000:520.00–0.00
Carrier–Kolesar–Roy1:260.00–0.081:460.00–0.030:380.02–0.030:370.02–0.010:510.00–0.000:340.00–0.082:060.00–0.020:590.04–0.03
Theodore–Whitecloud2:030.15–0.162:520.03–0.175:410.25–0.072:360.18–0.212:250.04–0.005:410.23–0.133:080.13–0.011:300.01–0.221:310.00–0.191:500.00–0.042:230.07–0.020:470.10–0.001:410.15–0.00
McNabb–Coghlan3:110.00–0.112:210.03–0.081:180.01–0.000:350.00–0.001:060.02–0.001:160.00–0.061:390.03–0.023:250.03–0.010:550.01–0.001:000.00–0.001:340.00–0.101:030.00–0.04
Hutton–Miromanov3:150.07–0.230:440.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:470.01–0.000:310.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:300.00–0.151:120.00–0.082:020.11–0.000:410.00–0.00
Hutton–Coghlan1:260.00–0.002:200.00–0.032:460.07–0.100:330.00–0.001:140.00–0.00
McNabb–Hutton1:040.02–0.000:540.00–0.090:580.02–0.000:320.00–0.09
Hutton–Whitecloud0:380.05–0.001:130.05–0.000:400.00–0.01
McNabb–Theodore0:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRoy FJanmark FKolesar FStephenson FStone FPacioretty FKarlsson FSmith FMarchessault FHowden FAmadio FCarrier FMcNabb DCoghlan DWhitecloud DTheodore DHutton DMiromanov DBrossoit GKillorn FCirelli FColton FJoseph FPalat FStamkos FPerry FMaroon FBellemare FRaddysh FNash FFortier FRutta DHedman DBogosian DMcDonagh DFoote DSergachev DVasilevskiy GElliott G
VGKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WhitecloudVGK2726:400:592:3453
Shea TheodoreVGK2825:330:551:5082
Victor HedmanTBL2524:080:581:5205
Ryan McDonaghTBL2523:120:561:5737
Mikhail SergachevTBL2421:350:541:2534
Anthony CirelliTBL2820:390:441:2377
Alex KillornTBL2720:210:451:1355
Zach BogosianTBL2219:510:541:4524
Max PaciorettyVGK2419:160:481:2262
William KarlssonVGK2219:020:522:1554
Mattias JanmarkVGK2218:570:521:2123
Dylan CoghlanVGK2218:550:521:2923
Brayden McNabbVGK2418:540:471:5736
Chandler StephensonVGK2518:480:451:1864
Steven StamkosTBL2518:370:451:3356
Ondrej PalatTBL2418:330:461:2055
Nicolas RoyVGK2318:160:481:4431
Reilly SmithVGK2317:360:461:2763
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1917:210:551:5572
Ben HuttonVGK2516:530:411:2933
Corey PerryTBL2116:210:471:3722
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2216:120:441:3913
Mathieu JosephTBL2115:460:451:2442
Ross ColtonTBL2015:150:461:1363
Patrick MaroonTBL2014:440:441:1021
Cal FooteTBL1914:440:471:2812
Keegan KolesarVGK1613:350:511:3710
Jan RuttaTBL1612:280:471:3801
William CarrierVGK1912:140:391:1721
Michael AmadioVGK1510:330:421:0611
Taylor RaddyshTBL179:430:341:2021
Brett HowdenVGK139:120:421:0210
Daniil MiromanovVGK138:190:381:0810
Mark StoneVGK117:470:421:1430
Riley NashTBL137:320:351:1313
Gabriel FortierTBL126:570:351:0211