Sat, Feb 19, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 81% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:40Shot by Jost, saved by Tokarski
- P1 2:50Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Tuch)+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · COL Johnson, Helm, Girard, O'Connor, Newhook
- P1 3:35Goal by MacKinnon (Makar, Toews)+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P1 3:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tokarski
- P1 4:24Shot by Makar, saved by Tokarski
- P1 4:29Shot by Murray, saved by Tokarski
- P1 4:42Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Tokarski
- P1 5:18Shot by Aube-Kubel, saved by Tokarski
- P1 6:00Shot by O'Connor, saved by Tokarski
- P1 9:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper
- P1 11:18Goal by Compher (Aube-Kubel)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Bjork, Mittelstadt, Bryson · COL Johnson, Murray, Compher, Jost, O'Connor
- P1 11:39Shot by Asplund, saved by Kuemper
- P1 11:56Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kuemper
- P1 12:42Goal by Thompson (Skinner, Dahlin)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Dahlin · COL Landeskog, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar
- P1 13:02Goal by Kadri (Nichushkin)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens · COL Kadri, Burakovsky, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar
- P1 14:11Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
- P1 16:04Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kuemper
- P1 16:22Shot by Jost, saved by Tokarski
- P1 18:36Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P1 18:44Krebs: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Hayden, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens · COL Johnson, Murray, Compher, Aube-Kubel, Jost
- P1 19:21Shot by Landeskog, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P1 19:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P1 19:59Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P1 0:00Period end4v5
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tokarski4v5
- P2 1:24Shot by Newhook, saved by Tokarski
- P2 1:55Shot by Bryson, saved by Kuemper
- P2 3:47Shot by Makar, saved by Tokarski
- P2 5:44Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kuemper
- P2 7:55Shot by Asplund, saved by Kuemper
- P2 8:41Shot by Kadri, saved by Tokarski
- P2 9:02Shot by Toews, saved by Tokarski
- P2 9:30Shot by Rantanen, saved by Tokarski
- P2 9:32Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Tokarski
- P2 11:58Shot by Murray, saved by Tokarski
- P2 12:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper
- P2 12:54Goal by Thompson (Samuelsson)+23 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Olofsson, Thompson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson · COL Helm, Burakovsky, Toews, Makar, Newhook
- P2 13:40Samuelsson: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Olofsson, Fitzgerald, Samuelsson, Krebs, Cozens · COL Kadri, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard
- P2 17:11Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper
- P2 17:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Tokarski
- P2 18:10Shot by Burakovsky, saved by Tokarski
- P2 18:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Tokarski
- P2 19:56Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P2 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper
- P3 1:18Shot by Johnson, saved by Tokarski
- P3 2:24Shot by Bjork, saved by Kuemper
- P3 4:54Shot by Compher, saved by Tokarski
- P3 5:35Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Kuemper
- P3 5:44Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
- P3 7:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by Tokarski
- P3 8:08Shot by Rantanen, saved by Tokarski
- P3 8:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Tokarski
- P3 8:37Goal by Newhook (Rantanen)+33 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Pysyk, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin · COL Johnson, Rantanen, Jost, Girard, Newhook
- P3 8:59Shot by Bryson, saved by Kuemper
- P3 9:11Johnson: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Skinner, Pysyk, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Bryson · COL Johnson, Compher, Toews, Jost, Newhook
- P3 9:19Shot by Helm, saved by Tokarski5v4
- P3 9:45Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper5v4
- P3 10:25Shot by Krebs, saved by Kuemper5v4
- P3 12:50Shot by Fitzgerald, saved by Kuemper
- P3 14:19Shot by Newhook, saved by Tokarski
- P3 14:27Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper
- P3 14:42Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kuemper
- P3 15:00Shot by Tuch, saved by Kuemper
- P3 15:56Shot by Okposo, saved by Kuemper
- P3 16:31Shot by Compher, saved by Tokarski
- P3 18:15Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Tokarski
- P3 18:59Shot by Cozens, saved by Kuemper6v5
- P3 19:08Goal by Rantanen, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens · COL Johnson, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen
- P3 19:40Shot by Olofsson, saved by Kuemper6v5
- P3 19:46Shot by Skinner, saved by Kuemper6v5
- P3 19:51Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Kuemper6v5
- P3 19:57Shot by Dahlin, saved by Kuemper6v5
- P3 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Final