Sat, Feb 19, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 81% of the time.
13%
75%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.06 | 73.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.05 | 71.3% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:27 | 1.08 | 66.6% | +36.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:16 | 0.57 | 67.4% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.21 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.11 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:14 | 0.83 | 85.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.14 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.13 | 90.5% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.04 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.15 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.02 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.29 | 75.8% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:21 | 0.22 | 23.7% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.23 | 77.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:16 | 0.11 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:11 | 0.11 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:23 | 0.04 | 35.2% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:27 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.02 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.27 | 36.3% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.20 | 40.6% | +58.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:52 | 0.29 | 43.3% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.12 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 64.9% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.14 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.27 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.19 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.05 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.37 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.21 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:30 | 0.12 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:17 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 31 | 4 | .886 | 3.58 | −0.4 | 58:43 |