Sat, Feb 19, 2022·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 81% of the time.
13%
75%
BUF winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Kadri–Burakovsky–Nichushkin | Compher–Aube-Kubel–Jost | Helm–O'Connor–Newhook | Compher–Jost–Newhook | Burakovsky–Nichushkin–Newhook | Toews–Makar | Johnson–Murray | Johnson–Girard | Johnson–Girard | Girard–Makar | Toews–Girard | Johnson–Murray | Johnson–Toews | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 6:270.10–0.08 | 2:390.01–0.57 | 0:410.06–0.00 | 6:350.28–0.42 | 0:570.00–0.10 | 1:470.08–0.22 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Olofsson–Krebs–Cozens | 3:180.00–0.67 | 3:140.01–0.14 | 2:190.11–0.07 | 0:410.07–0.00 | 1:250.04–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.55 | 2:110.18–0.07 | 2:270.01–0.20 | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:010.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.01 | |||
| Okposo–Asplund–Mittelstadt | 1:280.16–0.01 | 2:250.01–0.05 | 2:220.03–0.00 | 2:350.37–0.11 | 1:290.00–0.01 | 4:120.10–0.00 | 2:150.47–0.11 | 1:310.09–0.05 | ||||||
| Eakin–Hayden–Bjork | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 3:060.00–0.12 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | 2:320.06–0.12 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | |||||
| Skinner–Olofsson–Cozens | ||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 7:340.24–0.76 | 2:330.01–0.49 | 1:070.10–0.13 | 1:440.27–0.00 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 7:080.07–0.92 | 1:210.23–0.00 | 3:260.38–0.19 | 0:530.00–0.05 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.02 | 1:160.04–0.13 | ||
| Fitzgerald–Samuelsson | 3:340.00–0.00 | 4:170.03–0.06 | 2:030.02–0.07 | 1:250.17–0.00 | 4:040.09–0.06 | 1:590.03–0.07 | 2:260.18–0.00 | 1:280.13–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.01 | ||||
| Pysyk–Bryson | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.10 | 4:190.03–0.20 | 1:520.06–0.11 | 1:230.08–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 6:060.09–0.34 | 1:260.00–0.23 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | ||
| Pysyk–Fitzgerald | 0:320.00–0.01 | 1:110.00–0.12 | 1:160.00–0.12 | |||||||||||
| Fitzgerald–Bryson | 0:450.02–0.00 | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:550.09–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Bryson–Samuelsson | 0:320.04–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 24 | 23:42 | 0:59 | 1:46 | 4 | 4 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 24 | 23:37 | 0:59 | 1:35 | 2 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 23:23 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 4 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 30 | 21:27 | 0:43 | 1:29 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 24 | 20:27 | 0:51 | 1:57 | 3 | 3 |
 Casey FitzgeraldBUF | 26 | 20:20 | 0:47 | 1:45 | 1 | 1 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 27 | 20:18 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 24 | 20:16 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 3 | 3 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 23 | 20:04 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 3 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 18:57 | 0:44 | 2:18 | 5 | 6 |
 Mark PysykBUF | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 1:57 | 2 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 26 | 18:09 | 0:42 | 2:19 | 5 | 6 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 22 | 17:52 | 0:49 | 2:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 22 | 17:47 | 0:49 | 1:49 | 1 | 3 |
 Nazem KadriCOL | 24 | 17:14 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 3 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 23 | 17:04 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Andre BurakovskyCOL | 21 | 16:59 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 16:55 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 0 | 2 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 23 | 16:41 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 25 | 16:36 | 0:40 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 16:29 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 16:18 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 2 | 3 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 21 | 16:10 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 20 | 15:37 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 20 | 15:34 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan MurrayCOL | 19 | 15:20 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 22 | 15:15 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 0 | 1 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 23 | 15:10 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 16 | 13:21 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Cody EakinBUF | 16 | 12:45 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 18 | 12:40 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Anders BjorkBUF | 13 | 10:30 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelCOL | 14 | 10:22 | 0:44 | 0:59 | 0 | 0 |
 John HaydenBUF | 14 | 9:17 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 0 | 1 |
 Darren HelmCOL | 10 | 7:16 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 2 | 3 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 9 | 7:11 | 0:48 | 1:00 | 2 | 2 |