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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 19, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 55% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Kyrou–ThomasPerron–O'Reilly–SaadSchenn–Sundqvist–BarbashevBozak–Brown–KostinParayko–MikkolaFaulk–KrugBortuzzo–WalmanFaulk–ParaykoParayko–Walman
Bunting–Marner–Matthews8:220.36–0.614:060.39–0.002:300.25–0.000:350.00–0.019:180.80–0.244:340.25–0.251:360.00–0.12
Kase–Kampf–Mikheyev1:500.17–0.034:320.04–0.214:050.15–0.310:300.03–0.032:360.17–0.166:040.27–0.392:450.00–0.00
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander2:080.05–0.103:440.16–0.282:300.04–0.041:290.10–0.003:300.16–0.264:570.19–0.100:360.00–0.050:480.04–0.000:450.02–0.00
Spezza–Simmonds–Engvall0:550.00–0.051:550.12–0.042:580.16–0.062:330.11–0.040:400.00–0.052:100.18–0.05
Brodie–Rielly7:120.11–0.305:260.06–0.081:350.04–0.192:030.12–0.056:490.15–0.187:460.23–0.382:410.00–0.05
Muzzin–Liljegren4:490.15–0.401:580.00–0.232:340.03–0.041:220.16–0.004:560.20–0.363:460.13–0.190:540.00–0.120:530.03–0.00
Holl–Sandin1:140.23–0.062:490.14–0.104:450.04–0.020:510.03–0.012:170.29–0.003:310.15–0.133:520.00–0.05
Muzzin–Holl1:060.09–0.001:170.00–0.162:100.32–0.141:520.22–0.162:150.19–0.14
Liljegren–Sandin0:360.02–0.031:250.31–0.000:560.12–0.000:380.02–0.002:200.40–0.000:420.12–0.000:570.04–0.03
Rielly–Sandin0:410.00–0.00
Muzzin–Rielly0:310.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FMatthews FBunting FKerfoot FNylander FTavares FKase FKampf FMikheyev FSpezza FSimmonds FEngvall FRielly DBrodie DMuzzin DLiljegren DHoll DSandin DCampbell GThomas FKyrou FBuchnevich FSaad FO'Reilly FPerron FSundqvist FSchenn FBarbashev FBozak FBrown FKostin FParayko DMikkola DFaulk DKrug DBortuzzo DWalman DHusso G
TORSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL3525:410:441:2956
Morgan RiellyTOR2723:100:511:3133
Justin FaulkSTL3323:070:422:1235
Niko MikkolaSTL3523:040:401:2945
Auston MatthewsTOR2121:141:012:3123
Torey KrugSTL3320:550:381:2252
Jake MuzzinTOR2520:350:491:3133
Mitch MarnerTOR2220:290:562:3134
Robert ThomasSTL2319:380:511:4043
Michael BuntingTOR2119:060:551:2833
TJ BrodieTOR2618:570:441:2024
Jordan KyrouSTL2218:250:501:3043
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2318:180:481:3044
Rasmus SandinTOR2318:170:481:1523
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2518:060:431:0752
Justin HollTOR2417:550:451:1704
David PerronSTL2317:540:471:2043
Ryan O'ReillySTL2317:400:461:2044
Brandon SaadSTL2317:250:451:2053
Ivan BarbashevSTL2016:460:501:3012
Ondrej KaseTOR2115:460:451:2001
Oskar SundqvistSTL2115:450:451:2103
Brayden SchennSTL2015:310:471:2222
Ilya MikheyevTOR2115:140:441:2002
David KampfTOR2115:120:431:2012
William NylanderTOR2115:110:431:2443
John TavaresTOR1915:080:481:2443
Alexander KerfootTOR1914:030:441:0445
Robert BortuzzoSTL1912:360:401:0612
Jake WalmanSTL2012:350:381:0611
Pierre EngvallTOR1511:040:441:1211
Jason SpezzaTOR1710:230:371:1212
Wayne SimmondsTOR148:340:371:0311
Tyler BozakSTL148:220:361:1111
Klim KostinSTL137:290:351:2521
Logan BrownSTL126:490:341:2521