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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 21, 2022·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 1, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 88% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wheeler–Stastny–ScheifeleConnor–Brooks–DuboisLowry–Harkins–ReichelToninato–Poganski–SvechnikovConnor–Svechnikov–DuboisDeMelo–MorrisseyDillon–PionkSchmidt–StanleyDillon–DeMelo
Gaudreau–Lindholm–Tkachuk3:040.01–0.223:030.13–0.173:040.07–0.090:420.00–0.001:100.11–0.004:500.21–0.163:370.02–0.301:240.07–0.100:560.00–0.00
Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane6:000.37–0.121:110.07–0.040:520.00–0.000:530.00–0.002:190.09–0.004:180.26–0.122:370.10–0.00
Lucic–Toffoli–Monahan1:010.00–0.083:240.31–0.241:550.00–0.002:090.00–0.062:100.31–0.131:190.00–0.064:110.02–0.00
Lewis–Dube–Ruzicka1:020.07–0.031:340.03–0.001:540.04–0.000:570.00–0.000:490.00–0.183:230.08–0.181:010.00–0.001:470.02–0.00
Hanifin–Andersson7:050.20–0.412:540.15–0.002:420.00–0.091:020.00–0.003:370.13–0.085:370.21–0.393:130.00–0.090:470.00–0.00
Tanev–Kylington3:420.01–0.155:480.38–0.341:100.07–0.001:450.04–0.186:460.50–0.473:340.07–0.102:560.10–0.01
Gudbranson–Zadorov1:160.26–0.001:350.00–0.114:500.04–0.003:230.00–0.003:220.01–0.002:360.00–0.065:100.09–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGaudreau FTkachuk FLindholm FBacklund FColeman FLewis FMonahan FToffoli FMangiapane FDube FLucic FRuzicka FAndersson DHanifin DTanev DGudbranson DKylington DZadorov DMarkstrom GStastny FWheeler FScheifele FDubois FConnor FLowry FBrooks FToninato FPoganski FSvechnikov FHarkins FReichel FPionk DDillon DMorrissey DSchmidt DDeMelo DStanley DHellebuyck G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2724:040:531:2933
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3223:370:442:1930
Kyle ConnorWPG2521:350:521:2372
Dylan DeMeloWPG2521:290:521:2423
Noah HanifinCGY3221:020:391:1220
Chris TanevCGY3220:440:391:0407
Paul StastnyWPG2720:420:461:2023
Elias LindholmCGY2420:350:511:5436
Mark ScheifeleWPG2220:050:551:4021
Neal PionkWPG2719:410:441:1706
Blake WheelerWPG2219:310:531:4031
Matthew TkachukCGY2219:000:521:5444
Oliver KylingtonCGY2718:190:411:0704
Johnny GaudreauCGY2218:010:491:5444
Brenden DillonWPG2617:340:411:1103
Pierre-Luc DuboisWPG2017:170:521:2272
Nate SchmidtWPG2317:080:451:2122
Erik GudbransonCGY2616:530:391:0943
Logan StanleyWPG2316:310:431:2104
Blake ColemanCGY2216:110:441:0913
Nikita ZadorovCGY2415:560:401:0942
Tyler ToffoliCGY2015:420:471:5441
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2215:150:421:0923
Mikael BacklundCGY2015:130:461:0914
Adam LowryWPG2414:400:370:5516
Adam BrooksWPG1714:120:501:3141
Sean MonahanCGY2013:250:401:0721
Milan LucicCGY1813:080:440:5711
Trevor LewisCGY1911:210:360:5732
Kristian ReichelWPG1811:110:371:0514
Jansen HarkinsWPG1611:010:411:0514
Dillon DubeCGY1510:580:441:0640
Dominic ToninatoWPG1710:010:350:5502
Adam RuzickaCGY129:040:451:0630
Evgeny SvechnikovWPG148:570:381:0001
Austin PoganskiWPG117:130:391:0811