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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 2, 2022·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 0, New York Rangers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perry–Maroon–BellemarePalat–Point–CirelliKillorn–Stamkos–JosephNash–Katchouk–ColtonStamkos–Palat–ColtonNash–Joseph–KatchoukKillorn–Point–CirelliKillorn–Stamkos–ColtonHedman–RuttaMcDonagh–CernakSustr–SergachevHedman–SergachevMcDonagh–SustrMcDonagh–RuttaCernak–SergachevHedman–SustrSustr–RuttaHedman–Cernak
Strome–Goodrow–Lafrenière2:100.34–0.013:050.02–0.160:510.00–0.021:350.28–0.001:570.07–0.010:400.00–0.000:350.00–0.262:590.10–0.012:560.28–0.342:060.07–0.021:320.13–0.080:520.28–0.010:330.00–0.000:340.00–0.010:330.00–0.00
Kreider–Zibanejad–Kakko1:150.19–0.002:140.07–0.142:060.00–0.050:550.00–0.250:400.00–0.333:070.28–0.092:410.02–0.345:360.00–0.150:420.19–0.000:380.00–0.00
Reaves–McKegg–Gettinger2:420.00–0.001:010.00–0.000:570.00–0.131:030.01–0.001:380.00–0.142:280.00–0.170:410.00–0.001:390.00–0.001:270.00–0.001:030.01–0.000:300.00–0.000:410.00–0.130:310.01–0.000:390.00–0.00
Hunt–Gauthier–Chytil2:200.16–0.350:460.00–0.030:410.16–0.010:410.00–0.001:350.06–0.001:380.12–0.001:240.06–0.011:090.00–0.000:500.32–0.140:320.00–0.00
Trouba–Miller3:030.46–0.003:580.02–0.081:540.00–0.011:390.00–0.252:250.00–0.470:570.06–0.001:170.00–0.020:320.00–0.006:270.00–0.615:500.33–0.031:090.00–0.001:160.02–0.081:020.00–0.000:540.19–0.000:550.00–0.25
Fox–Hajek2:300.07–0.002:120.16–0.040:560.00–0.050:560.09–0.000:460.00–0.011:060.16–0.010:350.00–0.263:140.31–0.013:110.00–0.321:430.09–0.010:310.00–0.00
Lundkvist–Jones2:020.16–0.351:590.00–0.181:010.00–0.001:050.07–0.000:560.00–0.000:530.12–0.001:470.02–0.080:350.00–0.012:490.07–0.021:160.27–0.141:030.00–0.130:400.00–0.00
Trouba–Fox1:430.00–0.070:510.00–0.000:430.00–0.070:310.00–0.00
Hajek–Lundkvist0:370.00–0.030:320.00–0.00
Fox–Jones0:310.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Hajek–Miller0:570.00–0.000:580.00–0.00
Hajek–Jones0:380.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKreider FKakko FZibanejad FGoodrow FStrome FLafrenière FMcKegg FGettinger FReaves FGauthier FHunt FChytil FTrouba DMiller DFox DHajek DJones DLundkvist DShesterkin GKillorn FPoint FCirelli FPerry FBellemare FMaroon FPalat FColton FStamkos FJoseph FKatchouk FNash FMcDonagh DCernak DRutta DHedman DSustr DSergachev DVasilevskiy G
NYRTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

K'Andre MillerNYR2926:520:562:1915
Victor HedmanTBL2925:450:531:3651
Jacob TroubaNYR3125:370:501:4815
Ryan McDonaghTBL2922:280:461:3645
Adam FoxNYR2820:310:442:1335
Barclay GoodrowNYR2320:020:522:0417
Ondrej PalatTBL2019:410:591:3660
Jan RuttaTBL2619:380:451:3230
Brayden PointTBL1919:201:011:3670
Mika ZibanejadNYR2518:450:451:4737
Erik CernakTBL2818:340:401:0425
Chris KreiderNYR2518:040:431:5236
Alexis LafrenièreNYR2017:430:532:1313
Steven StamkosTBL2117:410:511:3621
Anthony CirelliTBL2217:400:481:3271
Libor HajekNYR2517:140:411:3414
Ryan StromeNYR2117:100:492:1323
Kaapo KakkoNYR2217:090:471:4745
Mikhail SergachevTBL2316:200:431:0430
Alex KillornTBL2015:330:471:3633
Greg McKeggNYR1914:540:471:2612
Nils LundkvistNYR2014:210:431:1912
Corey PerryTBL2113:570:401:1021
Mathieu JosephTBL1913:390:431:3601
Zac JonesNYR1813:320:451:3010
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL2013:190:401:2323
Patrick MaroonTBL2013:180:401:1021
Andrej SustrTBL1813:140:441:1530
Ross ColtonTBL2012:570:391:1050
Tim GettingerNYR1812:100:411:1111
Ryan ReavesNYR1711:470:421:1711
Riley NashTBL1811:450:391:1031
Boris KatchoukTBL1710:440:381:1030
Filip ChytilNYR1410:310:451:1101
Dryden HuntNYR1310:000:461:1901
Julien GauthierNYR127:240:371:1101