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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 2, 2022·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

San Jose Sharks 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 8

Away

San Jose Sharks

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

8

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 90% of the time.

PIT winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Hertl, saved by DeSmith
  3. P1 1:03Goal by Rodrigues (Pettersson, Heinen)+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Burns, Hertl, Dahlen, Gregor, Simek

  4. P1 1:54Shot by Nieto, saved by DeSmith
  5. P1 3:12Goal by Guentzel (Rust, Crosby)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson, Marino · SJS Vlasic, Hertl, Meloche, Dahlen, Gregor

  6. P1 3:41Shot by Rust, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 3:51Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 4:11Goal by Rodrigues (Heinen, Simon)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Cogliano, Bonino, Karlsson, Nieto, Middleton

  9. P1 6:09Goal by Rust (Letang, Dumoulin)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Meier, Meloche, Barabanov

  10. P1 8:09Shot by Meier, saved by DeSmith
  11. P1 9:00Shot by Crosby, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 9:44Shot by Heinen, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 9:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 10:05Shot by Matheson, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 13:57Shot by Bjorkqvist, saved by Reimer
  16. P1 14:36Shot by Hertl, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 14:59Shot by O'Connor, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 15:33Goal by Barabanov (Meier, Vlasic)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Pettersson, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Vlasic, Bonino, Meier, Meloche, Barabanov

  19. P1 16:29Goal by Bjorkqvist (Zohorna, Lafferty)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Ruhwedel, Lafferty, Bjorkqvist, Zohorna · SJS Cogliano, Vlasic, Bonino, Nieto, Meloche

  20. P1 17:00Shot by Crosby, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 17:45Shot by O'Connor, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 18:02Shot by Hertl, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Karlsson, saved by DeSmith
  24. P1 18:17Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Reimer
  25. P1 18:52Shot by Couture, saved by DeSmith
  26. P1 19:32Goal by Rust (Marino, Pettersson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Guentzel, Pettersson, Marino · SJS Burns, Vlasic, Couture, Meier, Barabanov

  27. P1 19:39Shot by Middleton, saved by DeSmith
  28. P1 19:51Shot by Cogliano, saved by DeSmith
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 3:05Shot by Bjorkqvist, saved by Sawchenko
  32. P2 4:43Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  33. P2 4:51Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  34. P2 4:52Shot by Simon, saved by Sawchenko
  35. P2 9:24Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sawchenko
  36. P2 11:11Shot by Meloche, saved by DeSmith
  37. P2 11:20Shot by Middleton, saved by DeSmith
  38. P2 11:24Shot by Karlsson, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 12:17Shot by Burns, saved by DeSmith
  40. P2 12:31Simon: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Pettersson, Heinen, Marino, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Burns, Cogliano, Couture, Hertl, Simek, Barabanov

  41. P2 14:27Goal by Burns (Bonino, Gregor)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, McGinn, Ruhwedel, Lafferty · SJS Burns, Bonino, Pederson, Gregor, Barabanov

  42. P2 16:34Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  43. P2 17:18Simek: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · SJS Burns, Dahlen, Gregor, Simek, Barabanov

  44. P2 18:04Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sawchenko5v4
  45. P2 18:05Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sawchenko5v4
  46. P2 18:49Shot by Cogliano, saved by DeSmith5v4
  47. P2 19:51Shot by Meier, saved by DeSmith
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:20Goal by Nieto (Middleton, Cogliano)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Rust, Guentzel · SJS Cogliano, Bonino, Karlsson, Nieto, Middleton

  51. P3 1:10Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Sawchenko
  52. P3 2:46Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  53. P3 2:52Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sawchenko
  54. P3 3:01Goal by Middleton (Karlsson, Meier)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT McGinn, Pettersson, Marino, Aston-Reese, O'Connor · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Hertl, Middleton, Meier

  55. P3 4:09Goal by Couture (Meier)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Matheson, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Burns, Couture, Hertl, Meier, Simek

  56. P3 7:11Simon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Dumoulin, Heinen, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Karlsson, Middleton, Dahlen, Gregor, Barabanov

  57. P3 7:25Couture: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Dumoulin, McGinn, Marino, Rodrigues · SJS Couture, Karlsson, Hertl, Meier, Dahlen

  58. P3 8:46Shot by Letang, saved by Sawchenko4v4
  59. P3 9:09Shot by Letang, saved by Sawchenko4v4
  60. P3 9:50Shot by McGinn, saved by Sawchenko
  61. P3 10:33Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  62. P3 11:32Shot by Letang, saved by Sawchenko
  63. P3 11:36Shot by Letang, saved by Sawchenko
  64. P3 11:49Shot by Cogliano, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 12:49Shot by Couture, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 12:58Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sawchenko
  67. P3 13:29Shot by Letang, saved by Sawchenko
  68. P3 14:01Shot by Barabanov, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 14:32Shot by Hertl, saved by DeSmith
  70. P3 15:14Shot by Nieto, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 15:23Shot by Bonino, saved by DeSmith
  72. P3 15:58Shot by Dahlen, saved by DeSmith
  73. P3 17:08Nieto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Matheson, Ruhwedel, Heinen, Rodrigues, Simon · SJS Burns, Couture, Hertl, Meier, Simek

  74. P3 17:23Shot by Rust, saved by Sawchenko5v4
  75. P3 17:59Goal by Rodrigues (Letang, Rust)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Guentzel, Rodrigues · SJS Vlasic, Karlsson, Hertl, Gregor

  76. P3 19:49Goal by Rust (Crosby, Guentzel)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Matheson, Guentzel, Marino · SJS Burns, Nieto, Meier, Dahlen, Gregor, Barabanov

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final