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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 7, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

3

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:24Shot by Jarvis, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Necas, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:47Shot by Simmonds, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 3:15Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:32Shot by Jarvis, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 3:55Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:21Shot by Necas, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 4:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:03Shot by Marner, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 7:53Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 8:18Shot by Leivo, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 8:19Shot by Lorentz, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 9:08Shot by Marner, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 9:40Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 10:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 12:39Shot by Brodie, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 13:01Shot by Necas, saved by Mrazek
  20. P1 13:08Goal by Niederreiter (Cole, Necas)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · CAR Staal, Cole, Smith, Niederreiter, Fast

  21. P1 14:11Simmonds: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Engvall, Dermott, Liljegren · CAR Cole, Smith, Stepan, Leivo, Lorentz

  22. P1 14:11Smith: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Simmonds, Engvall, Dermott, Liljegren · CAR Cole, Smith, Stepan, Leivo, Lorentz

  23. P1 14:40Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 16:22Shot by Skjei, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 18:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 0:00Trocheck: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander · CAR Trocheck, Skjei, Pesce, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  27. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen5v4
  30. P2 0:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen5v4
  31. P2 0:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen5v4
  32. P2 3:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 8:39Shot by Slavin, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 8:41Shot by Leivo, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 9:16Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 9:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 9:56Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · CAR Cole, Smith, Trocheck, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  38. P2 10:14Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen5v4
  39. P2 10:45Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek5v4
  40. P2 10:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen5v4
  41. P2 14:26Shot by Necas, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 14:53Shot by Leivo, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 15:30Cole: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kase, Kampf, Sandin, Mikheyev · CAR Cole, Smith, Stepan, Leivo, Lorentz

  44. P2 16:15Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen5v4
  45. P2 16:16Goal by Matthews (Nylander, Tavares)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CAR Skjei, Pesce, Aho, Necas

  46. P2 17:33Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 19:37Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · CAR Trocheck, Slavin, DeAngelo, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:08Goal by DeAngelo (Fast, Slavin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kase, Kampf, Mikheyev · CAR Staal, Niederreiter, Fast, Slavin, DeAngelo

  51. P3 0:37Shot by Fast, saved by Mrazek
  52. P3 1:38Aho: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Bunting, Marner · CAR Trocheck, Slavin, Pesce, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  53. P3 1:53Shot by Trocheck, saved by Mrazek5v4
  54. P3 1:54Rielly: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · CAR Staal, Cole, Trocheck, Slavin

  55. P3 2:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen4v4
  56. P3 3:59Shot by Kampf, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 8:00Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  58. P3 8:01Shot by Cole, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 9:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 9:23Goal by Stepan (DeAngelo, Lorentz)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin · CAR Stepan, Leivo, Slavin, DeAngelo, Lorentz

  61. P3 9:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 11:51Shot by Dermott, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 12:42Shot by Engvall, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 13:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 14:12Shot by Liljegren, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 14:12Goal by Marner (Liljegren)+39 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bunting, Dermott, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · CAR Cole, Martinook, Slavin, Aho, Necas

  67. P3 18:27Shot by Skjei, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 19:01Shot by Skjei, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 19:10Shot by Bunting, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 0:23Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Mrazek3v3
  73. OT 0:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Andersen3v3
  74. OT 1:28Shot by Necas, saved by Mrazek3v3
  75. OT 2:39Shot by Marner, saved by Andersen3v3
  76. OT 2:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Andersen3v3
  77. OT 2:51Goal by Marner (Rielly, Tavares)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Marner · CAR DeAngelo, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  78. OT 2:51Period end4v4
  79. OT 2:51Final