Mon, Feb 7, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
8%
32%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:50 | 0.03 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:19 | 0.06 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.10 | 61.3% | +25.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:10 | 0.15 | 77.8% | +59.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:55 | 0.32 | 51.6% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.10 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.36 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.28 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.22 | 62.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.18 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.11 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.20 | 63.1% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.10 | 50.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.18 | 88.3% | +33.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:08 | 0.22 | 83.5% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 6:47 | 0.27 | 98.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.42 | −0.6 | 62:51 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.20 | 36.8% | +72.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:30 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.06 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 21:17 | 0.79 | 70.8% | +111.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.01 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 20:24 | 0.60 | 72.3% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 20:02 | 0.66 | 34.6% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.46 | 34.6% | +69.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.19 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:16 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.12 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.01 | 3.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.01 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.02 | 57.6% | +39.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:49 | 0.17 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:30 | 0.12 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.86 | −0.1 | 62:38 |