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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 7, 2022·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Trocheck–Svechnikov–JarvisStaal–Niederreiter–FastMartinook–Aho–NecasStepan–Leivo–LorentzSkjei–PesceSlavin–DeAngeloCole–SmithCole–Slavin
Bunting–Marner–Matthews5:200.34–0.142:390.08–0.043:560.39–0.148:030.40–0.124:360.15–0.230:400.08–0.00
Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander2:430.06–0.002:360.00–0.244:340.16–0.211:090.00–0.267:370.16–0.343:400.06–0.280:430.10–0.13
Kase–Kampf–Mikheyev2:000.00–0.003:430.00–0.251:560.00–0.153:120.01–0.250:590.00–0.004:560.00–0.254:560.01–0.190:470.00–0.06
Spezza–Simmonds–Engvall0:560.00–0.122:030.06–0.150:540.04–0.131:100.00–0.181:230.06–0.151:520.06–0.182:370.11–0.25
Tavares–Nylander–Bunting0:310.05–0.000:350.00–0.070:360.05–0.000:340.00–0.07
Simmonds–Engvall–Kampf0:440.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Holl–Sandin5:060.05–0.064:230.06–0.042:390.00–0.162:080.00–0.465:430.00–0.136:520.10–0.442:100.00–0.19
Brodie–Rielly4:110.14–0.092:250.08–0.255:080.07–0.411:310.00–0.246:380.30–0.196:530.16–0.620:500.00–0.000:340.00–0.06
Dermott–Liljegren1:100.22–0.003:580.09–0.252:360.44–0.002:130.00–0.004:560.27–0.351:070.00–0.005:280.15–0.00
Brodie–Holl1:190.00–0.000:360.00–0.060:480.00–0.061:220.00–0.00
Rielly–Sandin0:440.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:470.06–0.00
Rielly–Dermott0:520.04–0.000:340.02–0.000:470.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKase FKampf FMikheyev FMarner FMatthews FBunting FNylander FKerfoot FTavares FSimmonds FEngvall FSpezza FRielly DBrodie DSandin DHoll DDermott DLiljegren DMrazek GStaal FNiederreiter FFast FTrocheck FJarvis FSvechnikov FMartinook FNecas FAho FStepan FLeivo FLorentz FSlavin DDeAngelo DPesce DSkjei DSmith DCole DAndersen G
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brett PesceCAR2926:500:561:3956
Brady SkjeiCAR3025:190:511:3965
Morgan RiellyTOR3124:350:481:3342
Jaccob SlavinCAR2923:400:492:2226
Rasmus SandinTOR2422:300:561:3005
TJ BrodieTOR2921:240:441:2743
Mitch MarnerTOR2521:170:512:2366
Tony DeAngeloCAR2621:100:492:2745
Justin HollTOR2620:540:481:2524
Auston MatthewsTOR2320:240:531:4266
William NylanderTOR2320:020:521:3343
Martin NecasCAR2519:550:481:4284
John TavaresTOR2419:510:501:2132
Vincent TrocheckCAR2319:050:501:4253
Sebastian AhoCAR2418:470:471:3065
Michael BuntingTOR2217:500:491:2845
Jordan StaalCAR2617:220:401:0635
Nino NiederreiterCAR2116:430:481:2032
Ondrej KaseTOR2016:160:491:1212
Seth JarvisCAR2316:110:421:0953
Ilya MikheyevTOR2015:520:481:0812
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2415:510:401:2963
Jesper FastCAR2115:470:451:1531
Ian ColeCAR2014:540:451:0853
David KampfTOR1914:320:461:0911
Travis DermottTOR1814:240:481:1023
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2014:190:431:1524
Alexander KerfootTOR1914:130:451:2413
Jordan MartinookCAR2013:320:410:5662
Brendan SmithCAR1611:010:411:0141
Jason SpezzaTOR1510:040:401:0923
Pierre EngvallTOR149:490:421:1323
Steven LorentzCAR159:410:390:5930
Derek StepanCAR159:080:370:5840
Wayne SimmondsTOR128:300:431:0922
Josh LeivoCAR126:470:340:5430