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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 18, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Formenton, saved by Houser
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Stützle, saved by Houser
  4. P1 2:00Shot by Asplund, saved by Forsberg
  5. P1 2:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Zub, saved by Houser
  7. P1 2:57Shot by Holden, saved by Houser
  8. P1 3:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Houser
  9. P1 3:08Shot by Zub, saved by Houser
  10. P1 5:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 6:06Shot by Butcher, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 6:11Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  13. P1 6:19Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  14. P1 7:27Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  15. P1 7:44Shot by Sanford, saved by Houser
  16. P1 7:54Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser
  17. P1 10:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Houser
  18. P1 11:06Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Forsberg
  19. P1 12:07Goal by Cozens (Tuch, Butcher)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Holden, Gaudette, Formenton, Stützle, Zub · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens

  20. P1 14:12Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser
  21. P1 14:21Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Gambrell, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Eakin, Butcher, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork

  22. P1 14:21Hayden: Instigator (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Gambrell, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Eakin, Butcher, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork

  23. P1 14:21Hayden: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Gambrell, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Eakin, Butcher, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork

  24. P1 14:21Hayden: Misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Gambrell, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker · BUF Eakin, Butcher, Hayden, Hagg, Bjork

  25. P1 16:42Shot by Watson, saved by Houser
  26. P1 16:49Shot by Watson, saved by Houser
  27. P1 16:51Shot by Formenton, saved by Houser
  28. P1 17:27Watson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Watson, Brown, Formenton, Norris, Zub · BUF Jankowski, Butcher, Hagg, Asplund, Murray

  29. P1 18:13Dahlin: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Holden, Gambrell, Formenton, Zub · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens

  30. P1 19:37Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser5v4
  31. P1 19:52Shot by Stützle, saved by Houser5v4
  32. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:24Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser
  35. P2 0:34Shot by Paul, saved by Houser
  36. P2 2:35Stützle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brown, Formenton, Brannstrom, Batherson, Stützle · BUF Okposo, Olofsson, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs

  37. P2 2:40Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  38. P2 2:53Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg4v5
  39. P2 3:53Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg4v5
  40. P2 4:25Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg4v5
  41. P2 5:39Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Houser
  42. P2 5:41Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Houser
  43. P2 6:17Shot by Hagg, saved by Forsberg
  44. P2 6:32Shot by Gaudette, saved by Houser
  45. P2 6:33Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Holden, Paul, Gaudette, Stützle, Zub · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Hagg, Jokiharju, Krebs

  46. P2 7:42Shot by Batherson, saved by Houser5v4
  47. P2 7:44Goal by Batherson (Stützle, Chabot)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · BUF Eakin, Hagg, Asplund, Jokiharju

  48. P2 7:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Forsberg
  49. P2 8:16Shot by Gambrell, saved by Houser
  50. P2 9:14Jankowski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Formenton, Batherson, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Stützle · BUF Jankowski, Asplund, Murray, Jokiharju, Dahlin

  51. P2 9:39Shot by Norris, saved by Houser5v4
  52. P2 9:57Shot by Stützle, saved by Houser5v4
  53. P2 10:10Shot by Sanford, saved by Houser5v4
  54. P2 10:14Shot by Sanford, saved by Houser5v4
  55. P2 10:38Shot by Tierney, saved by Houser5v4
  56. P2 12:20Shot by Paul, saved by Houser
  57. P2 12:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  58. P2 13:12Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  59. P2 14:20Shot by Holden, saved by Houser
  60. P2 15:29Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Forsberg
  61. P2 17:54Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  62. P2 18:09Shot by Krebs, saved by Forsberg
  63. P2 18:21Shot by Olofsson, saved by Forsberg
  64. P2 19:10Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser
  65. P2 19:13Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Houser
  66. P2 19:14Shot by Stützle, saved by Houser
  67. P2 19:44Shot by Batherson, saved by Houser
  68. P2 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Period start
  70. P3 0:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Forsberg
  71. P3 1:01Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  72. P3 1:19Shot by Stützle, saved by Houser
  73. P3 1:24Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Houser
  74. P3 2:13Shot by Brown, saved by Houser
  75. P3 2:20Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Houser
  76. P3 2:50Shot by Pysyk, saved by Forsberg
  77. P3 3:16Shot by Gaudette, saved by Houser
  78. P3 4:01Shot by Zub, saved by Houser
  79. P3 4:30Shot by Cozens, saved by Forsberg
  80. P3 5:55Shot by Murray, saved by Forsberg
  81. P3 7:07Shot by Formenton, saved by Houser
  82. P3 7:33Shot by Bjork, saved by Forsberg
  83. P3 7:38Shot by Dahlin, saved by Forsberg
  84. P3 9:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Forsberg
  85. P3 10:03Goal by Jankowski, unassisted+35 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Brown, Gaudette, Brannstrom, Stützle · BUF Okposo, Pysyk, Jankowski, Olofsson, Samuelsson

  86. P3 12:08Shot by Bjork, saved by Forsberg
  87. P3 14:17Shot by Norris, saved by Houser
  88. P3 16:44Shot by Tierney, saved by Houser
  89. P3 16:44Krebs: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Tierney, Chabot, Gaudette, Brannstrom · BUF Pysyk, Tuch, Olofsson, Samuelsson, Krebs

  90. P3 18:53Shot by Chabot, saved by Houser
  91. P3 19:20Goal by Tuch (Cozens, Skinner)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub · BUF Skinner, Hagg, Tuch, Samuelsson, Cozens

  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final