Tue, Jan 18, 2022·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
54%
9%
9%
28%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 22:01 | 0.01 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.09 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.86 | 52.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.02 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.03 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.06 | 39.8% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:22 | 0.20 | 56.3% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.15 | 32.8% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:34 | 0.15 | 43.2% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:38 | 0.34 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.13 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:10 | 0.22 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:39 | 0.24 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.06 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.06 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 44 | 43 | 1 | .977 | 3.39 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 30:41 | 0.20 | 64.4% | +19.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 24:40 | 0.65 | 79.4% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 22:41 | 0.46 | 67.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.15 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:50 | 0.10 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.13 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.21 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.36 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.11 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.12 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.03 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:30 | 0.45 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:27 | 0.14 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.07 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.05 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:58 | 0.10 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 1.92 | −0.1 | 59:37 |